Nationals vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Updated Sep. 4, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Jacob Young and the Washington Nationals will see Valente Bellozo starting for the Miami Marlins in the final game of a two-game series, Wednesday at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Nationals are listed as -144 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Marlins (+122). Washington (-1.5) is favored on the run line. An 8.5-run total is set for the contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Nationals-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins!

Nationals vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Nationals vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Nationals 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Nationals 50%, Marlins 50%

Nationals vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Nationals have won 12 out of the 23 games, or 52.2%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Washington has won three of its six games when favored by at least -144 on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have a 59% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 121 games this season and have come away with the win 47 times (38.8%) in those contests.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win 29 times in 80 chances when named as an underdog of at least +122 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL (10)

WSH 3 · MIA 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Washington Nationals

WSH

-1.5

-145

O 8.5

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+121

U 8.5

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have not been favored on the moneyline over the last 10 games.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Nationals and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Nationals' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams has a team-best 18 home runs.
• Including all MLB batters, Abrams is 94th in batting average, 94th in on-base percentage, and 66th in slugging.
• Luis Garcia has a club-high 63 runs batted in and .290 batting average.
• Garcia is 106th in home runs and 64th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Garcia has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .214 with a double and a walk.
• Young is hitting .263 with 23 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 27 walks.
• Keibert Ruiz is hitting .222 with 15 doubles, 13 home runs and 12 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Learn more about this Nationals vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 5-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Jake Burger paces the Marlins with 25 home runs and 59 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .247.
• Burger ranks 23rd in homers and 80th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jesus Sanchez is hitting .243 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 29 walks.
• Sanchez ranks 89th in homers and 92nd in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Otto Lopez is batting .244 with 15 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 19 walks.
• Xavier Edwards has eight doubles, two triples, a home run and 26 walks while hitting .339.

Marlins Team Props

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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