Nationals vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Updated Jul. 23, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Keibert Ruiz and the Washington Nationals hit the field on Tuesday at Nationals Park against Randy Vasquez, who is starting for the San Diego Padres. First pitch will be at 6:45 PM ET. The favored Nationals have -117 moneyline odds against the underdog Padres, who are listed at -102. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +150 odds). The total is 9.5 runs for this matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Nationals-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Nationals vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 23, 2024 at 6:45 PM ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: MASN2

Nationals vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Padres 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Nationals 51%, Padres 49%

Nationals vs. Padres Betting Insights

• This season, the Nationals have won 10 out of the 18 games, or 55.6%, in which they've been favored.
• Washington has a record of 8-5, a 61.5% win rate, when favored by -117 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Nationals, based on the moneyline, is 53.9%.
• The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 43 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (51.2%) in those games.
• This year, San Diego has won 16 of 31 games when listed as at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

SD 4 · WSH 0

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-103

O 9.5

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

-117

U 9.5

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Nationals were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only twice, and they split those games.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Nationals and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Nationals' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams has racked up a team-best 15 home runs and 49 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in MLB, Abrams' home run total ranks him 48th, and his RBI tally puts him 51st.
• Abrams brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .227 with a triple, a home run and three RBI.
• Jesse Winker is hitting .262 with 18 doubles, 11 home runs and 51 walks.
• Including all major league hitters, Winker is 95th in homers and 83rd in RBI.
• Luis Garcia has racked up a team-best batting average of .277.
• Lane Thomas is batting .246 with 12 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 26 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Learn more about this Nationals vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Padres and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Padres have won two of their last 10 games against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar paces the Padres in home runs (14) and runs batted in (59).
• Profar's home run total places him 55th in MLB, and he ranks 25th in RBI.
• Luis Arraez is batting .310 to lead the lineup.
• Arraez is currently 333rd in home runs and 218th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Jake Cronenworth leads the Padres with 14 long balls.
• Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .225 with 12 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 49 walks.

Padres Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals - 07/23/2024

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