Orioles vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2024 3:00 p.m. ET

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will lead the Toronto Blue Jays into a matchup with Anthony Santander and the Baltimore Orioles on Monday at 3:05 PM ET, in the first game of a four-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Bookmakers list the Orioles as -165 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Blue Jays +138 moneyline odds to win. Baltimore is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's over/under has been set at 9 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Orioles vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, July 29, 2024 at 3:05 PM ET
  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
  • How to Watch on TV: SNET
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles -165 +138 9 +106 -126 -1.5 +123 -146

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Blue Jays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Orioles 57%, Blue Jays 43%

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have won 47, or 58.8%, of the 80 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Baltimore has entered 29 games this season favored by -165 or more and is 19-10 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 62.3%.
  • The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 45 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (33.3%) in those contests.
  • This season, Toronto has come away with a win two times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Orioles and their opponents combined to go over the total nine times.
  • The Orioles are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 16
ERA 4.70
K/9 8

Orioles Player Insights

  • Gunnar Henderson's .283 average leads the Orioles this year. His resume also includes 28 homers and driven in 64 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Henderson's home run total places him fifth, and his RBI tally puts him 21st.
  • Henderson takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, four walks and an RBI.
  • Santander has hit 29 home runs with 68 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
  • Santander ranks fourth in home runs and 13th in RBI on the year.
  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .266 with 13 doubles, 17 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Jordan Westburg is batting .266 with 22 doubles, five triples, 17 home runs and 20 walks.
  • Westburg is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .143 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+180)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+160)
Jordan Westburg 0.5 () 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+150)
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+180)
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Blue Jays matchup on Fox Sports.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Blue Jays have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 9-1-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Blue Jays have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 13
ERA 5.40
K/9 8.6

Blue Jays Player Insights

  • Guerrero paces the Blue Jays in home runs (19), runs batted in (64) and has recorded a team-high batting average of .301.
  • Guerrero ranks 22nd in home runs and 21st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Guerrero has collected a hit in 10 straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .472 with three doubles, six home runs, five walks and 10 RBI.
  • George Springer is batting .227 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Springer is 78th in homers and 112th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
  • Daulton Varsho has 15 doubles, six triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .202.
  • Justin Turner has 17 doubles, six home runs and 39 walks while hitting .254.

Blue Jays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
George Springer 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+200)
Justin Turner 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+185)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 () 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+205)
Ernie Clement 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+205)

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Baltimore Orioles
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