Orioles vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2023 6:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Willson Contreras and the St. Louis Cardinals hit the field on Monday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against Dean Kremer, who will start for the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 6:35 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Orioles as -172 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Cardinals +145 moneyline odds. Baltimore is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +113 odds). The over/under for the game has been set at 10 runs.

The Orioles will start Kremer (12-5) against the Cardinals and Dakota Hudson (6-1).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Orioles vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, September 11, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles	-172	+145	10	-105	-115	-1.5	+113	-134

Orioles vs. Cardinals Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Cardinals 4
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Orioles 58%, Cardinals 42%

Orioles vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

The Orioles have been favorites in 71 games this season and won 50 (70.4%) of those contests.
Baltimore has a record of 21-3 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -172 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 63.2% chance to win.
The Cardinals have been victorious in 28, or 42.4%, of the 66 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
St. Louis has a mark of 3-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +145 or worse on the moneyline.
The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 40.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and went 5-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Orioles combined with their opponents to go over the run total nine times.
The Orioles' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	7
HR	13
ERA	4.65
K/9	9.2

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Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman is batting .272 with 24 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 79 walks.
Rutschman's home runs place him 93rd in the majors, and he ranks 62nd in RBI.
Anthony Santander's 27 home runs and 83 runs batted in both pace his team.
Santander ranks 23rd in home runs and 33rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Gunnar Henderson is batting .254 with 25 doubles, seven triples, 24 home runs and 50 walks.
Henderson is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .240 with two doubles, a triple, a home run and four RBI.
Austin Hays has a club-best .282 batting average.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ryan O'Hearn	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+125)
Anthony Santander	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+120)
Ryan Mountcastle	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+135)
Gunnar Henderson	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+145)
Cedric Mullins	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

The Cardinals have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
The Cardinals and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Cardinals are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.9
HR	17
ERA	5.06
K/9	5.7

Cardinals Player Insights

Nolan Arenado has racked up a team-leading 88 runs batted in.
Arenado's home run total puts him 27th in the majors, and he ranks 19th in RBI.
Paul Goldschmidt's .273 batting average is a team-high mark.
Goldschmidt ranks 46th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 48th in RBI.
Tommy Edman has 23 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 32 walks while batting .249.
Lars Nootbaar has 21 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 63 walks while batting .273.

Cardinals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Willson Contreras	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+215)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+200)
Lars Nootbaar	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+225)
Nolan Gorman	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+180)
Tyler O'Neill	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+205)