Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

Updated Aug. 4, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians take the field on Sunday at Progressive Field against Corbin Burnes, who gets the start for the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 1:40 PM ET for the final game of a four-game series. The Guardians have been listed as +110 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Orioles (-129). Baltimore is a 1.5-run favorite (at +131 odds). The matchup's over/under is set at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Orioles vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Baltimore Orioles and the Cleveland Guardians.

Orioles vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, August 4, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles	-129	+110	8	-102	-118	-1.5	+131	-155

Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Orioles 53%, Guardians 47%

Orioles vs. Guardians Betting Insights

The Orioles have been favorites in 86 games this season and won 51 (59.3%) of those contests.
Baltimore has entered 71 games this season favored by -129 or more and is 41-30 in those contests.
The Orioles have a 56.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Guardians have been victorious in 18, or 50%, of the 36 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Cleveland has come away with a win nine times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 47.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 5-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total nine times.
The Orioles' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	6.1
HR	12
ERA	5.52
K/9	8.0

Orioles Player Insights

Gunnar Henderson's .288 average leads the Orioles this year. His resume also includes 28 homers and driven in 67 RBI.
Among all MLB hitters, Henderson ranks 18th in batting average, 12th in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging.
Anthony Santander's 32 home runs and 75 RBI both pace his team.
Santander is third in homers and 11th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Adley Rutschman is hitting .262 with 13 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 43 walks.
Rutschman has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .176 with a triple, two walks and three RBI.
Ryan O'Hearn has 14 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .271.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Gunnar Henderson	1.5 ()	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+170)
Adley Rutschman	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+175)
Ryan O'Hearn	0.5 (-245)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+165)
Eloy Jiménez	0.5 (-245)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Ryan Mountcastle	0.5 (-230)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 3-2 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
Over their last 10 games, the Guardians are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	13
ERA	3.44
K/9	8.8

Guardians Player Insights

Ramirez has posted a team-high 29 home runs and has driven in 93 runs.
In all of MLB, Ramirez ranks fifth in homers and second in RBI.
Josh Naylor is batting .250 with 18 doubles, 23 home runs and 40 walks.
Among all MLB hitters, Naylor is 12th in home runs and eighth in RBI.
Steven Kwan leads the Guardians' lineup with a .330 batting average.
Lane Thomas is batting .250 with 18 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 34 walks.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Josh Naylor	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+160)
José Ramírez	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+165)
Steven Kwan	0.5 ()	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+275)
Daniel Schneemann	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+250)
Tyler Freeman	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+230)