Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 16

Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 16

Updated Jul. 16, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Anthony Santander and the Baltimore Orioles will play Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins on Sunday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, at 1:35 PM ET. The favored Orioles have -178 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +152. Baltimore is a 1.5-run favorite (at +118 odds). The contest's total is listed at 8.5 runs.

The Baltimore Orioles will give the start to Kyle Bradish (5-4, 3.32 ERA), who is looking for win No. 6 on the season, and the Marlins will turn to Steven Okert (3-0, 2.43 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Orioles vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles -178 +152 8.5 -119 -101 -1.5 +118 -140

Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 4, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities:

Orioles vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Orioles have won 33 out of the 46 games, or 71.7%, in which they've been favored.
  • Baltimore has entered 10 games this season favored by -178 or more and is 9-1 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 64% chance to win.
  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 48 games this season and have come away with the win 22 times (45.8%) in those contests.
  • This year, Miami has won four of 10 games when listed as at least +152 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 39.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles have a 3-1 record from the four games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Orioles and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
  • The Orioles' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.4
HR 15
ERA 2.83
K/9 7.9

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Orioles Player Insights

  • Adley Rutschman has 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 55 walks while batting .275.
  • Rutschman ranks 75th in homers and 101st in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Rutschman carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Santander has hit 16 home runs with 52 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
  • Santander is 32nd in home runs and 37th in RBI in the majors.
  • Santander has seven games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .361 with four doubles, two home runs, six walks and five RBI.
  • Adam Frazier has 12 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .242.
  • Frazier has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .421 with a double, two home runs and seven RBI.
  • Cedric Mullins is hitting .259 with 16 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 35 walks.
  • Mullins has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+150)
Cedric Mullins 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+190)
Ramón Urías 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+200)
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+155)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
  • The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 9
ERA 4.55
K/9 10

Marlins Player Insights

  • Arraez leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .386.
  • In all of the big leagues, Arraez is 299th in home runs and 80th in RBI.
  • Jorge Soler has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 24 home runs and 52 runs batted in.
  • Soler ranks sixth in home runs and 37th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has put up a team-best 52 runs batted in.
  • Garrett Cooper is hitting .255 with 10 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 16 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jesús Sánchez 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+165)
Jorge Soler 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+175)
Jean Segura 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+205)
Joey Wendle 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+195)
Garrett Cooper 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+175)

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