Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Updated Jul. 23, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Albert Suarez will start for the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday at LoanDepot park against Xavier Edwards and the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET in this first game of a three-game series. The favored Orioles have -171 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +143. Baltimore is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's over/under has been set at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Orioles vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, July 23, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles -171 +143 8.5 -111 -109 -1.5 -107 -113

Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Orioles 55%, Marlins 45%

Orioles vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have won 45, or 60%, of the 75 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Baltimore is 12-7 this season when entering a game favored by -171 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 63.1% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
  • The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 84 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (36.9%) in those games.
  • This year, Miami has won 11 of 34 games when listed as at least +143 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 41.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
BAL 3 ยท MIA 6
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Miami Marlins
MIA

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles have a 2-4 record over the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Orioles combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
  • The Orioles' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 13
ERA 4.55
K/9 9.4

Orioles Player Insights

  • Gunnar Henderson has accumulated a team-high batting average of .290, and paces the Orioles in home runs (28).
  • Henderson's home runs put him third in the majors, and he is 18th in RBI.
  • Anthony Santander's 66 runs batted in pace his team.
  • Santander is fifth in home runs and 13th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Santander carries an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .317 with a double, a triple, five home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
  • Adley Rutschman has 13 doubles, 17 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .271.
  • Jordan Westburg has 22 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 19 walks while hitting .273.
  • Westburg has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jordan Westburg 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+135)
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 () 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+170)
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 () 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+140)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Marlins had a record of 3-7.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Marlins have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 12
ERA 4.66
K/9 8.3

Marlins Player Insights

  • Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins with 45 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .249.
  • Chisholm ranks 69th in home runs and 70th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit 17 home runs with 45 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
  • De La Cruz is 31st among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 70th in RBI.
  • Josh Bell is batting .225 with 17 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Jesus Sanchez has 14 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 16 walks while batting .245.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Otto Lopez 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+230)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+160)
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+165)
Ali Sanchez 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+240)
Josh Bell 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+200)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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