Orioles vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

Updated Aug. 4, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Adley Rutschman and the Baltimore Orioles will meet Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets on Friday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, at 7:05 PM ET. The Mets are +128 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Orioles (-151). Baltimore is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +128 odds). A 9-run over/under has been set for this game.

The Baltimore Orioles will hand the ball to Dean Kremer (10-4, 4.66 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Mets will counter with David Peterson (3-7, 5.92 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Orioles vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles	-151	+128	9	-108	-111	-1.5	+128	-153

Orioles vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Orioles 56%, Mets 44%

Orioles vs. Mets Betting Insights

The Orioles have won 35, or 70%, of the 50 games they've played as favorites this season.
Baltimore has a record of 18-6 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -151 on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 60.2% chance to win.
The Mets have won in 10, or 27.8%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
New York has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +128 or worse on the moneyline this season.
The Mets have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

Over the last 10 games, the Orioles have been listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just two times, and they split those games.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
The Orioles have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	10
ERA	3.30
K/9	9.1

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Orioles Player Insights

Rutschman is hitting .275 with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.
Among all hitters in baseball, Rutschman's home run total places him 84th, and his RBI tally puts him 76th.
Rutschman carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .409 with a double, two walks and four RBI.
Anthony Santander has hit 19 home runs with 62 RBI. Both lead his team.
Santander ranks 31st in home runs and 36th in RBI on the season.
Adam Frazier is hitting .243 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 25 walks.
Gunnar Henderson is hitting .243 with 14 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ramón Urías	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+185)
Adley Rutschman	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+195)
Gunnar Henderson	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+170)
Ryan Mountcastle	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+155)
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Mets have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	13
ERA	4.28
K/9	7.5

Mets Player Insights

Lindor has 23 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 47 walks while batting .235.
In all of the big leagues, Lindor ranks 18th in home runs and 23rd in RBI.
Pete Alonso has hit 31 home runs with 77 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
Alonso ranks third among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and sixth in RBI.
Brandon Nimmo has racked up a team-high batting average of .256.
Jeff McNeil is batting .253 with 16 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 30 walks.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Starling Marte	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+180)
Francisco Lindor	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+160)
Brandon Nimmo	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+205)
Pete Alonso	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+135)
Jeff McNeil	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+165)

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