Adley Rutschman and the Baltimore Orioles will meet Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets on Friday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, at 7:05 PM ET. The Mets are +128 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Orioles (-151). Baltimore is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +128 odds). A 9-run over/under has been set for this game.
The Baltimore Orioles will hand the ball to Dean Kremer (10-4, 4.66 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Mets will counter with David Peterson (3-7, 5.92 ERA).
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Orioles vs. Mets Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
- Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
- How to Watch on TV: MASN
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -151 | +128 | 9 | -108 | -111 | -1.5 | +128 | -153 |
Orioles vs. Mets Prediction
- Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Mets 4
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Orioles 56%, Mets 44%
Orioles vs. Mets Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won 35, or 70%, of the 50 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Baltimore has a record of 18-6 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -151 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 60.2% chance to win.
- The Mets have won in 10, or 27.8%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- New York has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +128 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Orioles Recent Betting Performance
- Over the last 10 games, the Orioles have been listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just two times, and they split those games.
- Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
- The Orioles have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Orioles Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.30 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Orioles Player Insights
- Rutschman is hitting .275 with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.
- Among all hitters in baseball, Rutschman's home run total places him 84th, and his RBI tally puts him 76th.
- Rutschman carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .409 with a double, two walks and four RBI.
- Anthony Santander has hit 19 home runs with 62 RBI. Both lead his team.
- Santander ranks 31st in home runs and 36th in RBI on the season.
- Adam Frazier is hitting .243 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 25 walks.
- Gunnar Henderson is hitting .243 with 14 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks.
Orioles Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramón Urías | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+145) | 0.5 (+750) | 0.5 (+185) |
| Adley Rutschman | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+195) |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+170) |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 (+155) | 1.5 (-120) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+155) |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+160) |
Learn more about this Orioles vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Mets have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.28 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
Mets Player Insights
- Lindor has 23 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 47 walks while batting .235.
- In all of the big leagues, Lindor ranks 18th in home runs and 23rd in RBI.
- Pete Alonso has hit 31 home runs with 77 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
- Alonso ranks third among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and sixth in RBI.
- Brandon Nimmo has racked up a team-high batting average of .256.
- Jeff McNeil is batting .253 with 16 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 30 walks.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 1.5 (+200) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+750) | 0.5 (+180) |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+160) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 (-263) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+205) |
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+135) |
| Jeff McNeil | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+900) | 0.5 (+165) |
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