Orioles vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Updated Aug. 5, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Baltimore Orioles versus New York Mets game on Saturday at 7:05 PM ET will feature a pair of hot hitters in Ryan Mountcastle and Francisco Lindor. The Orioles are -171 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Mets (+145). Baltimore is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +109 odds). The over/under is 9.5 runs for this game.

The Baltimore Orioles will hand the ball to Kyle Gibson (10-6, 4.53 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Mets will counter with Tylor Megill.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Orioles vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles	-171	+145	9.5	-106	-114	-1.5	+109	-130

Orioles vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Orioles 57%, Mets 43%

Orioles vs. Mets Betting Insights

This season, the Orioles have won 36 out of the 51 games, or 70.6%, in which they've been favored.
This season Baltimore has won 10 of its 11 games, or 90.9%, when favored by at least -171 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 63.1% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
The Mets have been victorious in 10, or 27%, of the 37 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
New York has won all of its four games in which it was named as at least a +145 moneyline underdog.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 40.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles were the moneyline favorite for three of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-1 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
The Orioles' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	9
ERA	3.30
K/9	9.4

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Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman is batting .273 with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 64 walks.
Of all hitters in baseball, Rutschman's home run total places him 85th, and his RBI tally puts him 75th.
Anthony Santander has hit 19 home runs with 62 RBI. Both lead his team.
Santander ranks 33rd in home runs and 36th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
Gunnar Henderson has 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .246.
Henderson will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
Adam Frazier has 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .243.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+125)
Ryan Mountcastle	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+145)
Adley Rutschman	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+170)
Austin Hays	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+155)
Ryan O'Hearn	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Mets are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	13
ERA	4.70
K/9	7.6

Mets Player Insights

Lindor is batting .238 with 24 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 47 walks.
In all of MLB, Lindor ranks 20th in homers and 21st in RBI.
Pete Alonso been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 31 home runs and 77 runs batted in.
Alonso is third in home runs and sixth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Brandon Nimmo paces the Mets with a team-high batting average of .255.
Jeff McNeil is batting .251 with 16 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 30 walks.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Brandon Nimmo	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+220)
Starling Marte	1.5 (+220)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+200)
Francisco Lindor	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+160)
Jeff McNeil	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+160)
Pete Alonso	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+145)

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