Orioles vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 6

Updated Aug. 6, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Baltimore Orioles versus New York Mets game on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in Ryan Mountcastle and Francisco Lindor. The Mets are listed as +167 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Orioles (-199). Baltimore is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with -102 odds). The total for the matchup is listed at 8.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Baltimore Orioles looking to Kyle Bradish (7-6), and Jose Quintana (0-2) answering the bell for the New York Mets.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Orioles vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles	-199	+167	8.5	-116	-104	-1.5	-102	-119

Orioles vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Mets 3
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Orioles 58%, Mets 42%

Orioles vs. Mets Betting Insights

The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 52 times this season and won 37, or 71.2%, of those games.
Baltimore has played as favorites of -199 or more twice this season and won both games.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 66.6% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
The Mets have been victorious in 10, or 26.3%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
New York has played as an underdog of +167 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
The Mets have an implied victory probability of 37.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles were favored on the moneyline for four of their last 10 games, and they went 3-1 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Orioles and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Orioles' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.8
HR	10
ERA	3.17
K/9	9.5

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Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman is hitting .274 with 19 doubles, 14 home runs and 64 walks.
Rutschman's home runs rank him 86th in the majors, and he is 71st in RBI.
Anthony Santander's 20 home runs and 63 runs batted in are both team-highs.
Of all major league hitters, Santander ranks 30th in homers and 37th in RBI.
Gunnar Henderson is hitting .246 with 16 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 45 walks.
Henderson will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .304 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
Adam Frazier has 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 25 walks while batting .243.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ryan Mountcastle	1.5 (+140)	1.5 (-130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+135)
Ramón Urías	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+170)
Austin Hays	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+135)
Adley Rutschman	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+170)
Jorge Mateo	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Mets have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.3
HR	11
ERA	5.18
K/9	7.6

Mets Player Insights

Lindor is hitting .240 with 25 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 47 walks.
Among all batters in MLB, Lindor's home run total is 20th and his RBI tally ranks 22nd.
Lindor takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
Pete Alonso been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 31 home runs and 77 RBI.
Alonso is third in home runs and seventh in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Brandon Nimmo paces the Mets' lineup with a .257 batting average.
Jeff McNeil is hitting .253 with 16 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 30 walks.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jeff McNeil	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+205)
Starling Marte	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+205)
Pete Alonso	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+150)
Francisco Lindor	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
Brandon Nimmo	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+235)

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