Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 26

Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 26

Updated Sep. 26, 2023 6:06 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Gunnar Henderson and C.J. Abrams will be among the star attractions when the Baltimore Orioles play the Washington Nationals on Tuesday at 6:35 PM ET, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Orioles are the favorite in this one, at -247, while the underdog Nationals have +203 odds to upset. Baltimore is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the game is set at 7.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Baltimore Orioles looking to Kyle Bradish (11-7), and Josiah Gray (8-12) taking the ball for the Washington Nationals.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Orioles vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET
  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles -247 +203 7.5 -114 -105 -1.5 -116 -104

Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Nationals 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Orioles 60%, Nationals 40%

Orioles vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Orioles have been favored 79 times and won 53, or 67.1%, of those games.
  • Baltimore has a record of 3-1 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -247 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 71.2% chance to win.
  • The Nationals have come away with 58 wins in the 143 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Washington has come away with a win six times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +203 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 33% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles played as the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and went 2-2 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Orioles and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
  • The Orioles have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 8
ERA 3.53
K/9 6.9

Orioles Player Insights

  • Adley Rutschman has put up a team-best batting average of .276.
  • In all of MLB, Rutschman ranks 96th in homers and 62nd in RBI.
  • Rutschman carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .359 with seven doubles, a home run, five walks and six RBI.
  • Henderson has hit 27 home runs to lead his team.
  • Henderson is 32nd in homers and 45th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Anthony Santander has put up a team-high 27 home runs and 92 runs batted in.
  • Austin Hays is hitting .274 with 36 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 37 walks.

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 2-6.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Nationals have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 11
ERA 5.50
K/9 6.8

Nationals Player Insights

  • Lane Thomas has swatted a team-leading 27 home runs.
  • Thomas ranks 32nd in homers and 40th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Abrams is hitting .247 with 27 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Abrams ranks 106th overall in home runs and 108th in RBI this season.
  • Joey Meneses paces the Nationals with 87 runs batted in while accruing a team-best batting average of .279.
  • Keibert Ruiz is batting .253 with 22 doubles, 17 home runs and 30 walks.
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