Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

The Baltimore Orioles versus Washington Nationals game on Wednesday at 6:35 PM ET will feature a pair of hot hitters in Adley Rutschman and Luis Garcia. Bookmakers list the Orioles as -252 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals +207 moneyline odds to win. Baltimore is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7.5-run over/under is listed in the matchup.

The Orioles will start Grayson Rodriguez (6-4) against the Nationals and Patrick Corbin (10-14).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Orioles vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET
  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles -252 +207 7.5 -117 -103 -1.5 -115 -105

Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 6, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Orioles 59%, Nationals 41%

Orioles vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been favorites in 80 games this season and won 54 (67.5%) of those contests.
  • Baltimore has a record of 2-1 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -252 on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have a 71.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have been underdogs in 144 games this season and have come away with the win 58 times (40.3%) in those contests.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 6-15 when favored by +207 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 32.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles went 3-2 across the five games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Orioles combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total four times.
  • The Orioles have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 8
ERA 2.83
K/9 7

Orioles Player Insights

  • The Orioles best hitter so far this season is Rutschman, who's hitting at a team-leading .275 clip along with 19 homers and 76 RBI.
  • Of all batters in MLB, Rutschman's home run total places him 96th, and his RBI tally puts him 62nd.
  • Gunnar Henderson's 28 home runs lead his team.
  • Henderson is 31st in home runs and 45th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Anthony Santander has a team-best 92 runs batted in.
  • Austin Hays' .275 batting average is a team-high mark.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Austin Hays 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+170)
Aaron Hicks 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+155)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+150)
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+195)
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 2-6.
  • The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Nationals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 10
ERA 5.10
K/9 6.7

Nationals Player Insights

  • Lane Thomas has swatted a team-high 27 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Thomas' home run total is 33rd and his RBI tally is 40th.
  • C.J. Abrams is hitting .245 with 27 doubles, six triples, 18 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Abrams is currently 107th in homers and 112th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Joey Meneses paces the Nationals with 87 runs batted in while accruing a team-best batting average of .279.
  • Keibert Ruiz has 22 doubles, 17 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .254.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Joey Meneses 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+210)
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+240)
Dominic Smith 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+270)
Luis Garcia 0.5 (-222) 0.5 (-222) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+260)
C.J. Abrams 0.5 (-208) 0.5 (-208) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+240)
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