Orioles vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Orioles vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Colton Cowser and the Baltimore Orioles take the field on Friday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against Adam Mazur, who is starting for the San Diego Padres. First pitch will be at 7:05 PM ET. The Padres are +164 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Orioles (-197). Baltimore is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 9-run total is listed for the game.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the San Diego Padres and the Washington Nationals.
ADVERTISEMENT

Orioles vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, July 26, 2024 at 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles -197 +164 9 -105 -115 -1.5 +100 -120

Orioles vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Orioles 54%, Padres 46%

Orioles vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 78 times this season and won 46, or 59%, of those games.
  • Baltimore has entered eight games this season favored by -197 or more and is 5-3 in those contests.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 66.3% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
  • The Padres have been victorious in 23, or 52.3%, of the 44 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, San Diego has been victorious two times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +164 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 37.9% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
SD 6 ยท BAL 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Baltimore Orioles
BAL

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and went 2-4 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Orioles and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
  • The Orioles' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 13
ERA 4.81
K/9 8.7

Orioles Player Insights

  • The Orioles leader in both batting average and homers is Gunnar Henderson, who comes into the matchup hitting .284 and has left the yard 28 times while driving in 63 runs this season.
  • Among all MLB batters, Henderson is 25th in batting average, 18th in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
  • Anthony Santander has hit 28 home runs with 67 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
  • Santander is third in home runs and 12th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Santander carries an 11-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .341 with a double, a triple, five home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
  • Adley Rutschman has 13 doubles, 17 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .269.
  • Jordan Westburg is batting .266 with 22 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 19 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jordan Westburg 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+135)
Gunnar Henderson 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+155)
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+155)
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 () 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+155)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Padres have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 8
ERA 2.43
K/9 8.6

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar paces the Padres in home runs (16) and runs batted in (62).
  • Profar ranks 40th in homers and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Profar brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
  • Luis Arraez is batting .311 to lead the lineup.
  • Arraez is 292nd among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 200th in RBI.
  • Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .226 with 13 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 51 walks.
  • Jake Cronenworth has 19 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .252.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+205)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+240)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+205)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+160) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+215)

Orioles vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
Baltimore Orioles
San Diego Padres
share