Orioles vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Xander Bogaerts and the San Diego Padres hit the field on Sunday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against Albert Suarez, who gets the start for the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch will be at 1:35 PM ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Orioles are the favorite in this one, at -139, while the underdog Padres have +118 odds to play spoiler. Baltimore (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 9.5-run over/under has been set in this matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles on Saturday, July 27th.

Orioles vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Orioles vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Orioles 54%, Padres 46%

Orioles vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Orioles have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 46 (58.2%) of those contests.
• Baltimore is 28-23 this season when entering a game favored by -139 or more on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
• The Padres have won in 24, or 53.3%, of the 45 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, San Diego has come away with a win nine times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 45.9% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

SD 6 · BAL 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

+116

O 9

Baltimore Orioles

BAL

-1.5

-137

U 9

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles went 2-4 over the six games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times.
• The Orioles' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Gunnar Henderson's .284 average leads the Orioles this year. His resume also includes 28 homers and driven in 63 RBI.
• Of all batters in the majors, Henderson is fifth in homers and 22nd in RBI.
• Henderson carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with a double and three walks.
• Anthony Santander has hit 29 home runs with 68 RBI. Both pace his team.
• Santander ranks fourth in homers and 12th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Adley Rutschman is hitting .266 with 13 doubles, 17 home runs and 40 walks.
• Jordan Westburg is hitting .267 with 22 doubles, five triples, 17 home runs and 20 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 4-2 in those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Padres and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Padres have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar has managed a team-leading 18 home runs and has driven in 66 runs.
• In all of MLB, Profar is 26th in homers and 19th in RBI.
• Profar carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .279 with a double, four home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• Luis Arraez's .308 batting average leads his team.
• Among all major league batters, Arraez is 292nd in home runs and 204th in RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .251 with 19 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 33 walks.
• Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .229 with 13 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 51 walks.

Padres Team Props

Padres vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles on Saturday, July 27th.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles - 07/28/2024

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