Orioles vs. Rangers ALDS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7

Updated Oct. 7, 2023 12:19 p.m. ET

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The ALDS kicks off Saturday at 1:03 PM ET when the Baltimore Orioles host the Texas Rangers live from Oriole Park at Camden Yards, and airing on FS1. Oddsmakers list the Orioles as -138 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Rangers +118 moneyline odds. Baltimore is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +151 odds). The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs.

The Baltimore Orioles will give the start to Kyle Bradish (12-7, 2.83 ERA), who is looking for win No. 13 on the season, and the Rangers will counter with Andrew Heaney (10-6, 4.15 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Orioles vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 1:03 PM ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to Watch on TV: FS1

Orioles vs. Rangers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Rangers 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Orioles 54%, Rangers 46%

Orioles vs. Rangers Betting Insights

• This season, the Orioles have been favored 84 times and won 57, or 67.9%, of those games.
• Baltimore is 40-15 this season when entering a game favored by -138 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 58% chance to win.
• The Rangers have been underdogs in 52 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (50%) in those contests.
• Texas has a win-loss record of 10-13 when favored by +118 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 45.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles went 5-2 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Orioles and their opponents combined to go over the total one time.
• The Orioles have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• The Orioles best hitter thus far this season is Adley Rutschman, who's hitting at a team-leading .277 clip along with 20 homers and 80 RBI.
• Rutschman's home runs put him 92nd in MLB, and he is 53rd in RBI.
• Rutschman carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with a home run, four walks and four RBI.
• Gunnar Henderson has hit 28 home runs to pace his team.
• Henderson ranks 34th in homers and 49th in RBI on the season.
• Anthony Santander has a team-best 28 home runs and 95 runs batted in.
• Santander has at least one base hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a home run and three RBI.
• Austin Hays has 36 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .273.

Orioles Team Props

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rangers have a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents are 2-6-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Rangers are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Marcus Semien is batting .276 with 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .348.
• Semien's home run total places him 30th in the big leagues, and he ranks 17th in RBI.
• Corey Seager has a club-best .325 batting average.
• Seager ranks 16th in homers and 27th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers in home runs (39) and runs batted in (107).
• Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks while batting .262.

Rangers Team Props

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