Orioles vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Rays and Yandy Diaz hit the field in the final game of a four-game series against Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles on Sunday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Rays have been listed as -102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Orioles (-117). Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for this game.

The Orioles will start Dean Kremer (12-5) against the Rays and Zack Littell (3-6).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Rays game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Orioles vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
How to Watch on TV: MASN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles	-117	-102	9	-116	-104	-1.5	-190	+155

Orioles vs. Rays Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Rays 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Orioles 52%, Rays 48%

Orioles vs. Rays Betting Insights

This season, the Orioles have been favored 75 times and won 51, or 68%, of those games.
Baltimore has a record of 49-19 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -117 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 53.9% chance to win.
The Rays have been victorious in 12, or 42.9%, of the 28 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Tampa Bay has been victorious seven times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles went 3-4 across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Orioles combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
The Orioles are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	6.2
HR	15
ERA	3.94
K/9	7.1

Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman has 24 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 84 walks while batting .267.
Rutschman's home runs put him 95th in MLB, and he is 67th in RBI.
Henderson has hit 27 home runs to lead his team.
Henderson ranks 26th in homers in the majors, and 43rd in RBI.
Anthony Santander leads the Orioles in home runs (27) and runs batted in (84).
Austin Hays is batting .279 to lead his team.

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Rays have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	11
ERA	3.48
K/9	10.7

Rays Player Insights

Diaz leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .322.
Among all hitters in MLB, Diaz's home run total ranks 76th and his RBI tally is 61st.
Diaz takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.
Randy Arozarena is hitting .262 with 17 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 76 walks.
Arozarena is 60th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 38th in RBI.
Isaac Paredes paces the Rays in home runs (29) and runs batted in (89).
Josh Lowe is hitting .281 with 27 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 26 walks.