Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 15

Updated Aug. 15, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Nick Pivetta gets the nod on the mound for the Boston Red Sox in the first of a four-game series against the Baltimore Orioles and Gunnar Henderson on Thursday at 6:35 p.m. ET. The Orioles have been listed as -154 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Red Sox (+129). Baltimore is a 1.5-run favorite (at +141 odds). The game's total has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, August 15, 2024 at 6:35 p.m. ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Orioles 54%, Red Sox 46%

Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Orioles have been favored 94 times and won 56, or 59.6%, of those games.
• Baltimore has a record of 28-16, a 63.6% win rate, when favored by -154 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
• The Red Sox have been victorious in 30, or 51.7%, of the 58 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win four times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

BOS 1 · BAL 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+129

O 8

Baltimore Orioles

BAL

-1.5

-154

U 8

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and went 6-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
• The Orioles have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Henderson is the Orioles best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .288 rate along with 30 homers and 71 RBI.
• Henderson is seventh in homers and 23rd in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Anthony Santander has hit 36 home runs with 80 RBI. Both pace his team.
• Including all MLB hitters, Santander is third in home runs and 13th in RBI.
• Adley Rutschman is hitting .269 with 16 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
• Rutschman has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with two doubles and two RBI.
• Ryan O'Hearn is hitting .279 with 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 39 walks.
• O'Hearn takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .625 with two walks and two RBI.

Orioles Team Props

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran has 36 doubles, 13 triples, 14 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .290.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Duran ranks 96th in homers and 58th in RBI.
• Rafael Devers has hit 25 home runs with 72 RBI while batting .299. Those numbers are pace the clubhouse.
• Devers ranks 17th in homers and 21st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .263 with 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 15 walks.
• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .267 with 24 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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