Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 15
Nick Pivetta gets the nod on the mound for the Boston Red Sox in the first of a four-game series against the Baltimore Orioles and Gunnar Henderson on Thursday at 6:35 p.m. ET. The Orioles have been listed as -154 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Red Sox (+129). Baltimore is a 1.5-run favorite (at +141 odds). The game's total has been listed at 8.5 runs.
Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, August 15, 2024 at 6:35 p.m. ET
- Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
- How to Watch on TV: MASN
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orioles | -154 | +129 | 8.5 | -113 | -107 | -1.5 | +141 | -168 |
Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction
- Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Red Sox 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Orioles 54%, Red Sox 46%
Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Insights
- This season, the Orioles have been favored 94 times and won 56, or 59.6%, of those games.
- Baltimore has a record of 28-16, a 63.6% win rate, when favored by -154 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
- The Red Sox have been victorious in 30, or 51.7%, of the 58 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Boston has come away with a win four times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Orioles Recent Betting Performance
- The Orioles played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and went 6-3 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
- The Orioles have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Orioles Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 5 |
HR | 14 |
ERA | 4.14 |
K/9 | 7.6 |
Orioles Player Insights
- Henderson is the Orioles best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .288 rate along with 30 homers and 71 RBI.
- Henderson is seventh in homers and 23rd in RBI among all batters in the majors.
- Anthony Santander has hit 36 home runs with 80 RBI. Both pace his team.
- Including all MLB hitters, Santander is third in home runs and 13th in RBI.
- Adley Rutschman is hitting .269 with 16 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
- Rutschman has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with two doubles and two RBI.
- Ryan O'Hearn is hitting .279 with 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 39 walks.
- O'Hearn takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .625 with two walks and two RBI.
Orioles Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+155) |
Anthony Santander | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+360) | 0.5 (+160) |
Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+165) |
Colton Cowser | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+210) |
Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+165) |
Learn more about this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.
Red Sox Recent Betting Performance
- The Red Sox have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
- The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Red Sox have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Red Sox Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
HR | 12 |
ERA | 5.64 |
K/9 | 7.9 |
Red Sox Player Insights
- Jarren Duran has 36 doubles, 13 triples, 14 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .290.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Duran ranks 96th in homers and 58th in RBI.
- Rafael Devers has hit 25 home runs with 72 RBI while batting .299. Those numbers are pace the clubhouse.
- Devers ranks 17th in homers and 21st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .263 with 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 15 walks.
- Wilyer Abreu is hitting .267 with 24 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks.
Red Sox Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 () | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+900) | 0.5 (+185) |
Rob Refsnyder | 0.5 () | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+1000) | 0.5 (+190) |
Rafael Devers | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+380) | 0.5 (+140) |
Jarren Duran | 1.5 (+165) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+175) |
Connor Wong | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+1000) | 0.5 (+210) |
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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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