Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 16

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 16

Updated Aug. 16, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles will see Brennan Bernardino on the mound for the Boston Red Sox in the second game of a four-game series, Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Orioles as -185 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Red Sox +154 moneyline odds to win. Baltimore (-1.5) is favored on the run line. An 8.5-run over/under is listed in this contest.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

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Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, August 16, 2024 at 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles -185 +154 8.5 -120 +100 -1.5 +115 -136

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Orioles 55%, Red Sox 45%

Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been favorites in 95 games this season and won 57 (60%) of those contests.
  • Baltimore is 11-6 this season when entering a game favored by -185 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 64.9% chance to win.
  • The Red Sox have been victorious in 30, or 50.8%, of the 59 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Boston has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +154 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 39.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
FINAL
BOS 12 · BAL 10
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Baltimore Orioles
BAL

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles went 6-3 over the nine games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Orioles have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 16
ERA 3.83
K/9 8

Orioles Player Insights

  • Henderson leads the Orioles with a team-best batting average of .289.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Henderson is sixth in homers and 20th in RBI.
  • Henderson carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .429 with a double, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
  • Anthony Santander has shown his power as he leads his team with 36 home runs and 80 runs batted in.
  • Santander is third in homers and 13th in RBI in the majors.
  • Adley Rutschman is batting .267 with 16 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Ryan O'Hearn is batting .277 with 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 39 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Colton Cowser 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+155)
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 () 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+155)
Adley Rutschman 1.5 () 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+180)
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+120)
Eloy Jiménez 0.5 () 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 2-3 in those contests.
  • The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Red Sox have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 9
ERA 6.00
K/9 7.8

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Jarren Duran is batting .288 with 36 doubles, 13 triples, 14 home runs and 42 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .346.
  • Duran's home run total puts him 96th in the big leagues, and he is 59th in RBI.
  • Rafael Devers proven to be a run producer as he paces his team with 25 home runs and 72 runs batted in, with a team-best .296 batting average.
  • Devers is 17th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 22nd in RBI.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .265 with 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 15 walks.
  • Wilyer Abreu is batting .271 with 24 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 30 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Rafael Devers 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+160)
Jarren Duran 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+185)
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 (-210) 0.5 (-210) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+205)
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
David Hamilton 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+1400) 0.5 (+245)

Red Sox vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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