Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Updated Aug. 17, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles take on Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox on Saturday at 7:05 p.m. ET. The favored Orioles have -113 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at -106. Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's over/under has been set at 9.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles highlights on Friday, August 16.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 17, 2024 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 6, Red Sox 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Orioles 53%, Red Sox 47%

Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Orioles have won 57 out of the 96 games, or 59.4%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Baltimore has won 57 of its 95 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -113 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 53.1% chance to win.
• The Red Sox have been victorious in 31, or 51.7%, of the 60 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Boston has been victorious 29 times in 55 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

BOS 5 · BAL 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-106

O 9.5

Baltimore Orioles

BAL

+1.5

-113

U 9.5

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Orioles and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Orioles' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Henderson has accumulated a team-best batting average of .287.
• Henderson ranks seventh in home runs and 21st in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Anthony Santander's 36 home runs and 80 RBI both lead his team.
• Santander ranks third in homers and 13th in RBI on the year.
• Santander carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, two home runs, four walks and two RBI.
• Adley Rutschman is hitting .267 with 16 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
• Ryan O'Hearn is hitting .279 with 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 39 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 2-3 in those contests.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Red Sox are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran is batting .291 with 37 doubles, 13 triples, 15 home runs and 43 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .350.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Duran ranks 87th in home runs and 56th in RBI.
• Rafael Devers proven to be a run producer as he paces his team with 26 home runs and 75 RBI, with a team-best .298 batting average.
• Among all major league hitters, Devers ranks 11th in homers and 19th in RBI.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 15 walks while hitting .262.
• Tyler O'Neill is hitting .268 with 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 38 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Red Sox vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles highlights on Friday, August 16.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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