Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

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The Baltimore Orioles and Adley Rutschman will take the field against the Boston Red Sox and Justin Turner on Sunday at 3:05 PM ET, in the final of a four-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Orioles are -165 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Red Sox (+140). Baltimore is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +125 odds). An 8.5-run total has been set for this contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Baltimore Orioles looking to Kyle Bradish (12-7), and Tanner Houck (5-10) answering the bell for the Boston Red Sox.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:05 PM ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 4, Red Sox 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Orioles 58%, Red Sox 42%

Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Orioles have won 57 out of the 83 games, or 68.7%, in which they've been favored.
• Baltimore is 25-7 this season when entering a game favored by -165 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 86 games this year and have walked away with the win 39 times (45.3%) in those games.
• This season, Boston has been victorious eight times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles went 5-2 over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Orioles combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total one time.
• The Orioles have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Rutschman is the Orioles best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .277 clip along with 20 homers and 79 RBI.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Rutschman is 92nd in homers and 60th in RBI.
• Rutschman brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .375 with two doubles, a home run, five walks and four RBI.
• Gunnar Henderson's 28 home runs are a team-high mark.
• Henderson is 34th in home runs and 47th in RBI in the majors.
• Anthony Santander paces the Orioles in home runs (28) and runs batted in (95).
• Santander is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .190 with a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Austin Hays has 36 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .273.

Orioles Team Props

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Red Sox have one win against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 33 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 99.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Devers is 16th in homers and 17th in RBI.
• Turner has 31 doubles, 23 home runs and 51 walks while hitting .277.
• Among all major league hitters, Turner is 62nd in home runs and 25th in RBI.
• Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .288.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .262 with 37 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 45 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

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