Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Updated Sep. 10, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox hit the field on Sunday at Fenway Park against Grayson Rodriguez, who gets the start for the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET. The Orioles are listed as -119 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Red Sox (-100). Baltimore is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +135 odds). A 9.5-run over/under has been set for this matchup.

The Baltimore Orioles will give the start to Rodriguez (5-3, 4.91 ERA), who is looking for win No. 6 on the season, and the Red Sox will counter with Brayan Bello (11-8, 3.61 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, September 10, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles -119 -100 9.5 -107 -113 -1.5 +135 -160

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Orioles 51%, Red Sox 49%

Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been favorites in 70 games this season and won 50 (71.4%) of those contests.
  • Baltimore has a record of 47-15, a 75.8% win rate, when favored by -119 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 54.3% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
  • The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 74 games this year and have walked away with the win 37 times (50%) in those games.
  • This season, Boston has been victorious 28 times in 59 chances when named as an underdog of at least -100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles have a 6-2 record over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Orioles combined with their opponents to go over the total nine times.
  • The Orioles have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 7.6
HR 13
ERA 4.70
K/9 8.7

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Orioles Player Insights

  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .272 with 23 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 79 walks.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Rutschman's home run total places him 91st, and his RBI tally puts him 62nd.
  • Anthony Santander's 27 home runs and 83 runs batted in both lead his team.
  • Santander ranks 23rd in homers in baseball, and 33rd in RBI.
  • Santander enters this matchup looking for his eighth game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .341 with five doubles, two home runs, five walks and 10 RBI.
  • Gunnar Henderson is hitting .254 with 25 doubles, seven triples, 24 home runs and 50 walks.
  • Henderson has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .269 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs and seven RBI.
  • Austin Hays has a club-high .284 batting average.
  • Hays has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .364 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Gunnar Henderson 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+155)
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+165)
Ryan O'Hearn 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+130)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+130)
Cedric Mullins 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 1-4.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
  • The Red Sox have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 10
ERA 6.98
K/9 8.2

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Devers has swatted a team-high 29 long balls.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Devers' home run total ranks 16th and his RBI tally ranks 11th.
  • Justin Turner has collected 94 runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Turner is currently 43rd in home runs and ninth in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Masataka Yoshida has racked up a team-high batting average of .293.
  • Alex Verdugo is batting .275 with 35 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Adam Duvall 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+145)
Alex Verdugo 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+175)
Rafael Devers 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+165)
Justin Turner 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
Connor Wong 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+225)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Orioles vs Red Sox!

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