Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET

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Ryan O'Hearn and the Baltimore Orioles will square off against Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday. Bookmakers list the Orioles as -123 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox +103 moneyline odds. Baltimore is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup has been listed at 7.5 runs.

The starting pitchers are Dean Kremer (12-5) for the Baltimore Orioles, and Chris Sale (6-4) for the Boston Red Sox.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Orioles 57%, Red Sox 43%

Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Orioles have won 55, or 67.9%, of the 81 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Baltimore is 46-17 this season when entering a game favored by -123 or more on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 84 games this year and have walked away with the win 39 times (46.4%) in those games.
• Boston has a mark of 27-35 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +103 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 49.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles went 4-2 across the six games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Orioles and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Orioles' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Adley Rutschman is batting .276 with 31 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 90 walks.
• Rutschman's home runs rank him 90th in MLB, and he ranks 57th in RBI.
• Gunnar Henderson's 28 home runs are a team-high mark.
• Henderson ranks 33rd in homers and 45th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Anthony Santander has a team-high 92 runs batted in.
• Santander is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with two doubles, a walk and six RBI.
• Austin Hays has a club-high .277 batting average.
• Hays takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with three walks and an RBI.

Orioles Team Props

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 1-6.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Red Sox have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Devers paces the Red Sox in home runs (33) and runs batted in (98).
• In all of the majors, Devers is 16th in home runs and 16th in RBI.
• Justin Turner is hitting .274 with 30 doubles, 23 home runs and 51 walks.
• Turner ranks 60th overall in homers and 22nd in RBI this year.
• Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox's lineup with a .287 batting average.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .265 with 37 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 45 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

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