Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2023 7:12 p.m. ET

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Kutter Crawford gets the nod for the Boston Red Sox on Saturday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against Anthony Santander and the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 7:15 PM ET for the third game of a four-game series. The Orioles are the favorite in this one, at -132, while the underdog Red Sox have +112 odds to play spoiler. Baltimore (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's over/under has been set at 8 runs.

The Baltimore Orioles will hand the ball to Kyle Gibson (15-9, 4.86 ERA), who is looking for win No. 16 on the season, and the Red Sox will counter with Crawford (6-8, 4.16 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to Watch on TV: FOX

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Orioles 57%, Red Sox 43%

Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Orioles have won 56 out of the 82 games, or 68.3%, in which they've been favored.
• Baltimore is 43-15 this season when entering a game favored by -132 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
• The Red Sox have come away with 39 wins in the 85 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Boston has a win-loss record of 25-22 when favored by +112 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 47.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they went 4-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Orioles combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total two times.
• The Orioles' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Adley Rutschman has a team-high batting average of .277.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Rutschman's home run total places him 92nd, and his RBI tally ranks him 58th.
• Rutschman has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with two doubles, a home run, six walks and four RBI.
• Santander has hit 28 home runs with 93 RBI. Both lead his team.
• Santander is 34th in homers and 34th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Santander heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 28 home runs.
• Austin Hays is hitting .273 with 36 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 38 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Red Sox had a record of 1-5.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox are 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox in home runs (33) and runs batted in (99).
• In all of MLB, Devers is 16th in home runs and 16th in RBI.
• Justin Turner is hitting .276 with 31 doubles, 23 home runs and 51 walks.
• Among all major league batters, Turner is 60th in homers and 22nd in RBI.
• Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox with a team-best batting average of .285.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .263 with 37 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 45 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

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