Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 8

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 8

Updated Sep. 8, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Anthony Santander and the Baltimore Orioles take on Alex Verdugo and the Boston Red Sox on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, in the first of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The favored Orioles have -121 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at +101. Baltimore is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +130 odds). The total is 10.5 runs for the matchup (with -113 odds to go over and -107 odds to go under).

The Orioles will start Kyle Bradish (10-6) against the Red Sox and Tanner Houck (4-8).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, September 8, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles -121 +101 10.5 -113 -107 -1.5 +130 -155

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Orioles 5
  • Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Orioles 50%, Red Sox 50%

Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been favorites in 69 games this season and won 49 (71%) of those contests.
  • Baltimore has a record of 43-15, a 74.1% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Orioles have a 54.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have been underdogs in 73 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (50.7%) in those contests.
  • This year, Boston has won 27 of 57 games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles have a 6-3 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
  • The Orioles have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.4
HR 9
ERA 3.80
K/9 8

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Orioles Player Insights

  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .272 with 23 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 77 walks.
  • Rutschman ranks 97th in home runs and 67th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Santander's 27 home runs and 82 RBI both pace his team.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Santander is 22nd in home runs and 30th in RBI.
  • Santander carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Gunnar Henderson is hitting .251 with 24 doubles, six triples, 23 home runs and 50 walks.
  • Austin Hays is batting .285 to pace his team.
  • Hays is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .444 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Cedric Mullins 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Ryan O'Hearn 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+135)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+130)
Gunnar Henderson 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+155)
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Red Sox have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 12
ERA 6.67
K/9 8.3

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Rafael Devers has posted a team-leading 29 home runs and has driven in 91 runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Devers' home run total ranks 16th and his RBI tally ranks 10th.
  • Justin Turner has driven in the most runs for the Red Sox with 91 runs batted in.
  • Among all major league hitters, Turner ranks 48th in homers and 10th in RBI.
  • Masataka Yoshida has put up a team-best batting average of .292.
  • Verdugo has 34 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .276.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Rafael Devers 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+165)
Alex Verdugo 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+220)
Justin Turner 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+170)
Adam Duvall 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+150)
Triston Casas 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (-189) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Orioles vs Red Sox!

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