Orioles vs. Royals AL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Sep. 30, 2024 2:01 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The AL Wild Card Series starts Tuesday at 4:08 p.m. ET when the Baltimore Orioles host the Kansas City Royals live from Oriole Park at Camden Yards, and airing on ESPN2. The Orioles are favored in this one, at -156, while the underdog Royals have +132 odds to play spoiler. Baltimore is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +157 odds). The over/under for the game has been set at 7 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Orioles vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 4:08 p.m. ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
How to Watch on TV: ESPN2

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles	-156	+132	7	+100	-120	-1.5	+157	-187

Orioles vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Royals 4
Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
Win Probabilities: Orioles 53%, Royals 47%

Orioles vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Orioles have won 67, or 57.3%, of the 117 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season Baltimore has won 34 of its 56 games, or 60.7%, when favored by at least -156 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.9% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
The Royals have come away with 35 wins in the 81 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Kansas City has a win-loss record of 8-16 when favored by +132 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 43.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles went 2-2 across the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Orioles and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Orioles' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	17
ERA	3.80
K/9	8.3

Orioles Player Insights

The Orioles best hitter thus far this season is Gunnar Henderson, who's hitting at a team-leading .281 rate along with 37 homers and 92 RBI.
In all of the majors, Henderson ranks ninth in homers and 22nd in RBI.
Anthony Santander has shown off his power as he paces his team with 44 home runs and 102 RBI.
Santander ranks third in home runs and 13th in RBI in the major leagues.
Adley Rutschman has 21 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .250.
Ryan O'Hearn is batting .264 with 21 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 46 walks.
O'Hearn is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two home runs, a walk and four RBI.

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
The Royals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	1.9
HR	3
ERA	2.32
K/9	9.1

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 32 home runs and 109 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .332.
Among all batters in MLB, Witt's home run total ranks 15th and his RBI tally ranks sixth.
Witt has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with three walks and an RBI.
Salvador Perez is hitting .271 with 28 doubles, 27 home runs and 44 walks.
Perez is 29th overall in home runs and 10th in RBI this season.
Maikel Garcia has 27 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 42 walks while batting .231.
Hunter Renfroe is batting .229 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 36 walks.