Orioles vs. Royals AL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2024 4:01 p.m. ET

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The AL Wild Card Series begins on Tuesday when the Baltimore Orioles play host to the Kansas City Royals. Action begins at 4:08 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, and can be watched on ESPN2. Bookmakers list the Orioles as -151 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Royals +127 moneyline odds. Baltimore is a 1.5-run favorite (at +152 odds). The over/under is 7 runs for the game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Orioles vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Baltimore Orioles and the Minnesota Twins.

Orioles vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 4:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN2

Orioles vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Orioles 53%, Royals 47%

Orioles vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Orioles have won 67 out of the 117 games, or 57.3%, in which they've been favored.
• Baltimore is 35-26 this season when entering a game favored by -151 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 60.2%.
• The Royals have been victorious in 35, or 43.2%, of the 81 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Kansas City has a mark of 8-19 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +127 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 44.1% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

KC 1 · BAL 0

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Kansas City Royals

KC

+1.5

+124

O 7

Baltimore Orioles

BAL

-1.5

-148

U 7

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles went 2-2 over the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Orioles' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Gunnar Henderson paces the Orioles with a .281 batting average.
• Among all MLB hitters, Henderson ranks 22nd in batting average, 18th in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging.
• Anthony Santander's 44 home runs and 102 runs batted in are both team-highs.
• Including all MLB hitters, Santander is third in homers and 14th in RBI.
• Adley Rutschman is hitting .250 with 21 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 58 walks.
• Ryan O'Hearn is hitting .264 with 21 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 46 walks.
• O'Hearn is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two home runs, a walk and four RBI.

Orioles Team Props

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 1-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
• The Royals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 32 home runs and 109 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .332.
• Witt ranks 16th in home runs and sixth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Witt brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with three walks and an RBI.
• Vinnie Pasquantino is batting .262 with 30 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 40 walks.
• Pasquantino ranks 90th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 19th in RBI.
• Salvador Perez is batting .271 with 28 doubles, 27 home runs and 44 walks.
• Maikel Garcia has 27 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 42 walks while batting .231.

Royals Team Props

Orioles vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Baltimore Orioles and the Minnesota Twins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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