Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Adley Rutschman and the Baltimore Orioles will square off against Gleyber Torres and the New York Yankees at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday. The Orioles are the favorite in this one, at -120, while the underdog Yankees have +100 odds to upset. Baltimore is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +160 odds). A 9.5-run over/under has been set in the matchup.

The scheduled starters are Tyler Wells (7-5) for the Baltimore Orioles, and Clarke Schmidt (6-6) for the New York Yankees.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Orioles-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Orioles vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 29, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
How to Watch on TV: FOX

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Orioles	-120	+100	9.5	-107	-113	-1.5	+160	-192

Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Yankees 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Orioles 54%, Yankees 46%

Orioles vs. Yankees Betting Insights

The Orioles have been favorites in 48 games this season and won 34 (70.8%) of those contests.
Baltimore has a record of 30-10 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
The Yankees have won in 13, or 39.4%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, New York has won 11 of 26 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

In the last 10 games, the Orioles were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only once, a game they lost.
Over their last 10 outings, the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Orioles' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	8
ERA	4.08
K/9	8.4

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Orioles Player Insights

Rutschman has 17 doubles, 14 home runs and 60 walks while batting .268.
Including all MLB hitters, Rutschman ranks 47th in batting average, 21st in on-base percentage, and 81st in slugging.
Rutschman carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
Anthony Santander has shown off his power as he paces his team with 18 home runs and 56 runs batted in.
Santander ranks 30th in homers and 47th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Adam Frazier is hitting .238 with 14 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks.
Gunnar Henderson has 12 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 43 walks while hitting .238.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ryan Mountcastle	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+165)
Adam Frazier	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+160)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+230)
Austin Hays	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+175)
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+125)
Gunnar Henderson	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Orioles vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Yankees have been underdogs twice and lost both games.
The Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Yankees have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	10
ERA	4.37
K/9	10.3

Yankees Player Insights

Torres paces the Yankees with 43 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .261.
Among all hitters in the majors, Torres is 50th in homers and 103rd in RBI.
Aaron Judge has put up a team-high 19 home runs.
Judge is 26th in home runs and 117th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Anthony Rizzo is batting .246 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 34 walks.
Anthony Volpe has 12 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 34 walks while batting .210.

Yankees Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+220)
Gleyber Torres	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+185)
Harrison Bader	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+170)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+140)
Aaron Judge	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+185)	0.5 (+125)

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