Data Skrive
Luis Arraez and the San Diego Padres take on Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros on Monday at 9:40 p.m. ET, in the first of a three-game series at PETCO Park. Bookmakers list the Padres as -118 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Astros -102 moneyline odds. San Diego (-1.5) is favored on the run line. An 8-run over/under has been set for this matchup.
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Padres vs. Astros Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, September 16, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to Watch on TV: SDPA
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -118 | -102 | 8 | -105 | -114 | -1.5 | +173 | -207 |
Padres vs. Astros Prediction
- Score Prediction: Padres 5, Astros 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Astros 47%
Padres vs. Astros Betting Insights
- The Padres have won 56, or 58.3%, of the 96 games they've played as favorites this season.
- San Diego is 46-36 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
- The Padres have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Astros have been underdogs in 38 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (47.4%) in those contests.
- This season, Houston has been victorious 11 times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Astros have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
- The Padres have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.07 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Padres Player Insights
- Jurickson Profar is hitting .279 with 26 doubles, 22 home runs and 74 walks.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Profar's home run total places him 44th, and his RBI tally ranks him 31st.
- Arraez is batting .322 to lead his team.
- Arraez ranks 315th in homers in MLB, and 186th in RBI.
- Arraez carries a 13-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 games he is batting .457 with two doubles, three walks and two RBI.
- Manny Machado has put up a team-high 26 home runs and 98 runs batted in.
- Jackson Merrill is hitting .288 with 27 doubles, six triples, 23 home runs and 25 walks.
Padres Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+230) |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Jackson Merrill | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Jake Cronenworth | 0.5 (-135) | 0.5 (-135) | - | 0.5 (+240) |
Learn more about this Padres vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.
Astros Recent Betting Performance
- The Astros are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
- The Astros have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Astros Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.72 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Astros Player Insights
- Yordan Alvarez leads the squad with a batting average of .308, and paces the Astros in home runs, with 34 and runs batted in with 84.
- Alvarez is 10th in homers and 28th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
- Altuve is batting .301 with 28 doubles, 19 home runs and 45 walks.
- Altuve ranks 75th in home runs and 79th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Alex Bregman is batting .256 with 28 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.
- Yainer Diaz has 26 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .301.
Astros Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+230) |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 (-275) | 1.5 (-120) | - | 0.5 (+130) |
| Yainer Diaz | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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