Padres vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2024 9:01 p.m. ET

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Luis Arraez and the San Diego Padres take on Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros on Monday at 9:40 p.m. ET, in the first of a three-game series at PETCO Park. Bookmakers list the Padres as -118 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Astros -102 moneyline odds. San Diego (-1.5) is favored on the run line. An 8-run over/under has been set for this matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 16, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Padres vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Astros 47%

Padres vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Padres have won 56, or 58.3%, of the 96 games they've played as favorites this season.
• San Diego is 46-36 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Astros have been underdogs in 38 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (47.4%) in those contests.
• This season, Houston has been victorious 11 times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Astros have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

HOU 1 · SD 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Houston Astros

HOU

+1.5

+102

O 8

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-121

U 8

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Padres have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is hitting .279 with 26 doubles, 22 home runs and 74 walks.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Profar's home run total places him 44th, and his RBI tally ranks him 31st.
• Arraez is batting .322 to lead his team.
• Arraez ranks 315th in homers in MLB, and 186th in RBI.
• Arraez carries a 13-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 games he is batting .457 with two doubles, three walks and two RBI.
• Manny Machado has put up a team-high 26 home runs and 98 runs batted in.
• Jackson Merrill is hitting .288 with 27 doubles, six triples, 23 home runs and 25 walks.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• The Astros have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Yordan Alvarez leads the squad with a batting average of .308, and paces the Astros in home runs, with 34 and runs batted in with 84.
• Alvarez is 10th in homers and 28th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Altuve is batting .301 with 28 doubles, 19 home runs and 45 walks.
• Altuve ranks 75th in home runs and 79th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Alex Bregman is batting .256 with 28 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.
• Yainer Diaz has 26 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .301.

Astros Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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