Padres vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 18

Updated Jul. 18, 2023 7:07 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Juan Soto and Bo Bichette will be among the star attractions when the San Diego Padres play the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday at 7:07 PM ET, at Rogers Centre. The Padres are -129 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Blue Jays (+109). San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 9.5 runs for the contest (with -108 odds on the over and -111 odds to go under).

The Padres will give the ball to Joe Musgrove (8-2) versus the Blue Jays and Alek Manoah (2-7).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Blue Jays game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 18, 2023 at 7:07 PM ET
Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
How to Watch on TV: SNET

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-129	+109	9.5	-108	-111	-1.5	+132	-157

Padres vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Padres 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities:

Padres vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

The Padres have won 35, or 51.5%, of the 68 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season San Diego has won 30 of its 54 games, or 55.6%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 56.3% chance to win.
The Blue Jays have been victorious in 12, or 50%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Toronto has come away with a win six times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres have a 6-2 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
The Padres' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.9
HR	16
ERA	3.95
K/9	10.6

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Padres Player Insights

Soto leads the Padres with 51 runs batted in.
Among all MLB hitters, Soto is 65th in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and 38th in slugging.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has put his power on display as he leads his team with 17 home runs with a team-leading .285 batting average.
Tatis ranks 25th in home runs and 51st in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Manny Machado leads the Padres in home runs (17) and runs batted in (51).
Xander Bogaerts is batting .258 with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 40 walks.
Bogaerts is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, a walk and an RBI.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jake Cronenworth	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+180)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-189)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+155)
Manny Machado	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+115)
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+240)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Blue Jays matchup on Fox Sports.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

Bookmakers have not installed the Blue Jays as underdogs in any of their last 10 games.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Blue Jays are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	12
ERA	2.74
K/9	10

Blue Jays Player Insights

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has driven in a team-leading 60 runs batted in.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Guerrero's home run total is 53rd and his RBI tally is 14th.
Bichette's 16 home runs and .314 batting average both pace his club.
Among all MLB hitters, Bichette ranks 35th in homers and 37th in RBI.
George Springer is hitting .271 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 30 walks.
Whit Merrifield is batting .292 with 17 doubles, six home runs and 25 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bo Bichette	1.5 (+140)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+180)
Matt Chapman	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)
Whit Merrifield	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+195)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+140)
George Springer	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+205)

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