Padres vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 20

Updated Jul. 20, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres will meet Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday at Rogers Centre, at 1:07 PM ET. The Blue Jays are -100 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Padres (-119). San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest (with -118 odds to hit the over and -102 odds on the under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the San Diego Padres looking to Blake Snell (6-7), and Chris Bassitt (9-5) answering the bell for the Toronto Blue Jays.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Blue Jays game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, July 20, 2023 at 1:07 PM ET
Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-119	-100	8.5	-118	-102	-1.5	+137	-163

Padres vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Padres 4
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities:

Padres vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

The Padres have been favorites in 69 games this season and won 36 (52.2%) of those contests.
This season San Diego has won 33 of its 61 games, or 54.1%, when favored by at least -119 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 54.3% chance of a victory for the Padres.
The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 25 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (48%) in those games.
This season, Toronto has come away with a win seven times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least -100 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres have a 5-2 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.
The Padres' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	17
ERA	3.26
K/9	10.1

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Padres Player Insights

Juan Soto has put up a team-high 54 runs batted in.
In all of MLB, Soto is 29th in home runs and 37th in RBI.
Tatis has a club-high .286 batting average.
Tatis ranks 29th in homers and 61st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Tatis has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with two doubles, a walk and three RBI.
Manny Machado paces the Padres with 18 home runs and 54 runs batted in.
Machado is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with two home runs, five walks and four RBI.
Xander Bogaerts is hitting .255 with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 walks.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Juan Soto	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+150)
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+225)
Manny Machado	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+115)
Gary Sánchez	0.5 (-175)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+170)
Jake Cronenworth	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Blue Jays matchup on Fox Sports.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Blue Jays have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Blue Jays have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	9
ERA	3.03
K/9	9.1

Blue Jays Player Insights

Bo Bichette leads the Blue Jays with 16 home runs and has put up a team-high batting average of .319.
In all of the big leagues, Bichette is 39th in homers and 44th in RBI.
Bichette carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .400 with a home run, a walk and an RBI.
Guerrero has driven in the most runs for the Blue Jays with 60 runs batted in.
Guerrero ranks 59th in homers and 19th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
George Springer is hitting .270 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 30 walks.
Whit Merrifield has 17 doubles, six home runs and 25 walks while batting .288.

Blue Jays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+155)
Whit Merrifield	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+185)
Bo Bichette	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+180)
Danny Jansen	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+185)
Jordan Luplow	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+240)

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