Padres vs. Braves NL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2024 4:01 a.m. ET

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The San Diego Padres will host the Atlanta Braves to start the NL Wild Card Series on Tuesday at 8:38 p.m. ET, live on ESPN from PETCO Park. The Braves are listed as +136 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Padres (-160). San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7 runs for this matchup.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Padres vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 8:38 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Padres vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Braves 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Braves 46%

Padres vs. Braves Betting Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 102 times this season and won 61, or 59.8%, of those games.
• This season San Diego has won 24 of its 35 games, or 68.6%, when favored by at least -160 on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 61.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Braves have been victorious in 13, or 44.8%, of the 29 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Atlanta has been listed as an underdog of +136 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 42.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Wed 12:38 AM

ESPN

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Atlanta Braves

ATL

+1.5

+136

O 7

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-161

U 7

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres won all of the four games they played as a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Padres have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is batting .280 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Profar's home run total places him 42nd, and his RBI tally puts him 35th.
• Manny Machado has shown his power as he paces his team with 29 home runs and 105 RBI.
• Machado is 24th in home runs and ninth in RBI in the majors.
• Jackson Merrill is hitting .292 with 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks.
• Merrill will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Luis Arraez's .314 batting average paces his team.
• Arraez is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with three doubles, a triple and two RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Braves matchup on Fox Sports.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
• The Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Braves are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Marcell Ozuna paces the Braves with 39 home runs and 104 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .302.
• Ozuna's home run total puts him fifth in MLB, and he is 10th in RBI.
• Matt Olson has 37 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 71 walks while hitting .247.
• Olson ranks 24th in homers and 18th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jorge Soler has 34 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 68 walks while hitting .241.
• Ozzie Albies has 29 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 27 walks while hitting .251.

Braves Team Props

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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