Padres vs. Braves NL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

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The San Diego Padres will host the Atlanta Braves to start the NL Wild Card Series on Tuesday at 8:38 p.m. ET, live on ESPN from PETCO Park. Bookmakers list the Padres as -187 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Braves +156 moneyline odds. San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 7.5 runs for the matchup.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Padres vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 8:38 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Padres vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Braves 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Braves 46%

Padres vs. Braves Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 61 out of the 102 games, or 59.8%, in which they've been favored.
• San Diego has entered 23 games this season favored by -187 or more and is 16-7 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 65.2% chance to win.
• The Braves have been underdogs in 29 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (44.8%) in those contests.
• Atlanta has played as an underdog of +156 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 39.1% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

ATL 0 · SD 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Atlanta Braves

ATL

+1.5

+162

O 7.5

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-196

U 7.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres won all of the four games it played while the moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
• The Padres have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is batting .280 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks.
• Profar ranks 42nd in homers and 35th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Manny Machado's 29 home runs and 105 RBI both pace his team.
• Among all MLB hitters, Machado ranks 24th in home runs and ninth in RBI.
• Jackson Merrill is hitting .292 with 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks.
• Merrill has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Luis Arraez's .314 batting average leads his team.
• Arraez brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with three doubles, a triple and two RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Braves matchup on Fox Sports.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, sportsbooks have not installed the Braves as underdogs once.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents are 2-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Braves have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Marcell Ozuna leads the lineup with a batting average of .302, and leads the Braves in home runs, with 39 and runs batted in with 104.
• Ozuna's home run total places him fifth in the big leagues, and he is 10th in RBI.
• Matt Olson is hitting .247 with 37 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 71 walks.
• Olson ranks 24th overall in homers and 18th in RBI this season.
• Jorge Soler is hitting .241 with 34 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 68 walks.
• Ozzie Albies has 29 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 27 walks while batting .251.

Braves Team Props

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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