Padres vs. Braves NL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 2

Padres vs. Braves NL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 2

Updated Oct. 2, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The NL Wild Card Series resumes Wednesday at 8:38 p.m. ET when the San Diego Padres host the Atlanta Braves live on ESPN2 from PETCO Park. The Padres will look to move on to the NLDS while the Braves hope to extend the series with a win. The Braves have been listed as +103 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Padres (-123). San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 6.5 runs for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves clinch playoff berth after 3-0 victory over Mets in Game 2 of doubleheader

The Atlanta Braves clinched a playoff berth after a 3-0 victory over the New York Mets in Game 2 of a doubleheader.
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Padres vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 2, 2024 at 8:38 p.m. ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -123 +103 6.5 -121 +101 -1.5 +179 -217

Padres vs. Braves Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 4, Braves 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Braves 46%

Padres vs. Braves Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 103 games this season and won 62 (60.2%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has a record of 45-33, a 57.7% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 55.2% chance to win.
  • The Braves have been chosen as underdogs in 30 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (43.3%) in those games.
  • This season, Atlanta has been victorious three times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 49.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
ATL 4 · SD 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
San Diego Padres
SD

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres played four of their last 10 games as a moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Padres' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 12
ERA 3.07
K/9 9.4

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar is hitting .280 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Profar's home run total places him 42nd, and his RBI tally puts him 35th.
  • Manny Machado's 29 home runs and 105 RBI both lead his team.
  • Machado is 24th in homers and ninth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Jackson Merrill is batting .292 with 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks.
  • Merrill has at least one base hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Luis Arraez is hitting .314 to lead his team.
  • Arraez is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with three doubles, a triple and two RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Arraez 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+295)
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-205) 0.5 (-205) - 0.5 (+215)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-220) 0.5 (-215) - 0.5 (+245)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+295)
Elias Díaz 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+295)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Braves matchup on Fox Sports.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents are 1-8-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Braves have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 14
ERA 2.76
K/9 9.8

Braves Player Insights

  • Marcell Ozuna paces the Braves in home runs (39), runs batted in (104) and has put up a team-best batting average of .302.
  • Ozuna's home run total places him fifth in MLB, and he is 10th in RBI.
  • Matt Olson has 37 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 71 walks while hitting .247.
  • Among all major league batters, Olson ranks 24th in homers and 18th in RBI.
  • Jorge Soler has 34 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 68 walks while hitting .241.
  • Ozzie Albies is hitting .251 with 29 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 27 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Michael Harris II 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+260)
Gio Urshela 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+225)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+145)
Ozzie Albies 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+230)
Sean Murphy 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-140) - 0.5 (+235)

Braves clinch playoff berth after 3-0 victory over Mets in Game 2 of doubleheader

The Atlanta Braves clinched a playoff berth after a 3-0 victory over the New York Mets in Game 2 of a doubleheader.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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San Diego Padres
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