Padres vs. Braves NL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 2

Padres vs. Braves NL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 2

Updated Oct. 2, 2024 6:01 a.m. ET

The NL Wild Card Series continues on Wednesday when the San Diego Padres play host to the Atlanta Braves. The Padres will look to clinch a berth in the NLDS when the game begins at 8:38 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The Braves have been listed as +103 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Padres (-122). San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +174 odds). The contest's over/under has been set at 7 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 2, 2024 at 8:38 p.m. ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -122 +103 7 +102 -122 -1.5 +174 -216

Padres vs. Braves Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 4, Braves 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Braves 46%

Padres vs. Braves Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have won 62 out of the 103 games, or 60.2%, in which they've been favored.
  • San Diego has a record of 45-34, a 57% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 55%.
  • The Braves have been victorious in 13, or 43.3%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Atlanta has a mark of 3-9 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Thu 12:38 AM
ESPN2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
San Diego Padres
SD

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres played as the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and won all of them.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total two times.
  • The Padres have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 12
ERA 3.07
K/9 9.4

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar has 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks while batting .280.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Profar's home run total places him 42nd, and his RBI tally ranks him 35th.
  • Manny Machado's 29 home runs and 105 runs batted in both pace his team.
  • Machado ranks 24th in homers and ninth in RBI among all major league batters this season.
  • Jackson Merrill has 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks while batting .292.
  • Merrill is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Luis Arraez is batting .314 to lead his team.
  • Arraez has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .250 with three doubles, a triple and two RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+165)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+190)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+225)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+285)
Dónovan Solano 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) - 0.5 (+235)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Braves matchup on Fox Sports.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once.
  • The Braves have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 14
ERA 2.76
K/9 9.8

Braves Player Insights

  • Marcell Ozuna paces the Braves in home runs (39), runs batted in (104) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .302.
  • In all of MLB, Ozuna is fifth in home runs and 10th in RBI.
  • Matt Olson has 37 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 71 walks while batting .247.
  • Olson is 24th overall in homers and 18th in RBI this year.
  • Jorge Soler is hitting .241 with 34 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 68 walks.
  • Ozzie Albies is batting .251 with 29 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 27 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Gio Urshela 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+155) - 0.5 (+230)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+140)
Ozzie Albies 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+230)
Michael Harris II 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+270)
Ramón Laureano 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) - 0.5 (+220)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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