Padres vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 16

Padres vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 16

Updated Apr. 16, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Wade Miley will take the mound for the Milwaukee Brewers in the second of a three-game series against the San Diego Padres and Jurickson Profar on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET. The Brewers are listed as -103 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Padres (-116). San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's over/under is set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers.
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Padres vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, April 16, 2024 at 7:40 PM ET
  • Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • How to Watch on TV: BSWI
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -116 -103 8.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +142 -169

Padres vs. Brewers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 62%, Brewers 38%

Padres vs. Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 10 times and won five of those games.
  • San Diego is 4-5 this season when entering a game favored by -116 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 53.7%.
  • The Brewers have won in six of the nine contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Milwaukee has a mark of 5-1 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 50.7% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
SD 6 · MIL 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres were favored on the moneyline for three of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-1 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Padres have a 7-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games (oddsmakers set spreads in nine of those games).

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 12
ERA 3.03
K/9 7.4

Padres Player Insights

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. paces the Padres with five home runs.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Tatis' home run total places him eighth, and his RBI tally ranks him 16th.
  • Jake Cronenworth has racked up 14 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Cronenworth ranks 36th in home runs and 14th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .221 with three doubles, two triples, two home runs and 12 walks.
  • Manny Machado has three doubles, four home runs and eight walks while hitting .250.
  • Machado brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 outings he is batting .293 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+160)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+190)
Luis Campusano 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+175)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+135)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have failed to hit the over once.
  • The Brewers have a record of 5-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 7.4
HR 19
ERA 4.40
K/9 8.9

Brewers Player Insights

  • The Brewers are led in runs batted in by William Contreras with a mark of 15, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .390.
  • Contreras' home run total places him 13th in the majors, and he ranks eighth in RBI.
  • Contreras has collected a hit in 11 straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .450 with two doubles, four home runs, seven walks and 13 RBI.
  • Willy Adames is batting .317 with four doubles, three home runs and seven walks.
  • Adames ranks 36th in home runs and 50th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with five long balls.
  • Brice Turang is batting .333 with four doubles, a home run and three walks.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Sal Frelick 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+285)
William Contreras 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+190)
Jake Bauers 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+210)
Willy Adames 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+175)
Rhys Hoskins 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+180)

Padres vs. Brewers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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