Padres vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 21

Updated Jun. 21, 2024 9:02 p.m. ET

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The Milwaukee Brewers and Willy Adames take the field against Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres on Friday, in the second game of a four-game series at PETCO Park. The Brewers have been listed as -103 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Padres (-117). Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +158 odds). An 8.5-run over/under has been set in the game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, June 21, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: BSWI

Padres vs. Brewers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Brewers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 50%, Brewers 50%

Padres vs. Brewers Betting Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 48 times this season and won 26, or 54.2%, of those games.
• San Diego has entered 40 games this season favored by -117 or more and is 21-19 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Brewers have won in 18, or 50%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Milwaukee has been victorious 16 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 50.7% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

MIL 5 · SD 9

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Milwaukee Brewers

MIL

+1.5

+137

O 7.5

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-161

U 7.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and went 4-1 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Padres' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar comes into Friday's game hitting .321 with 48 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Padres. He has also connected on 10 round-trippers in 2024.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Profar's home run total places him 55th, and his RBI tally ranks him 14th.
• Profar has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
• Tatis' 14 home runs are a team-high mark.
• Tatis is 20th in homers and 56th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Tatis heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
• Ha-Seong Kim is batting .214 with nine doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 44 walks.
• Luis Arraez is hitting .315 with 15 doubles, a triple, a home run and 13 walks.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Brewers have been underdogs twice and lost both contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
• The Brewers have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• William Contreras leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .300.
• In all of the majors, Contreras ranks 68th in homers and 14th in RBI.
• Adames has hit 13 home runs with 54 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Among all major league hitters, Adames ranks 26th in home runs and seventh in RBI.
• Brice Turang is batting .286 with 14 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 25 walks.
• Christian Yelich is batting .322 with eight doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 24 walks.

Brewers Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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