Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Updated Sep. 23, 2023 8:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Nick Martinez will start for the San Diego Padres on Saturday at PETCO Park against Paul Goldschmidt and the St. Louis Cardinals. First pitch is at 8:40 PM ET for the second game of a three-game series. The favored Padres have -225 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Cardinals, who are listed at +185. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run total is listed in the game.

The San Diego Padres will give the start to Martinez (5-4, 3.73 ERA), who is looking for win No. 6 on the season, and the Cardinals will counter with Jake Woodford (2-2, 5.31 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Padres vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 8:40 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-225	+185	8.5	-115	-105	-1.5	-105	-115

Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 4, Cardinals 3
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 59%, Cardinals 41%

Padres vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

The Padres have won 63, or 55.3%, of the 114 games they've played as favorites this season.
San Diego has a record of 8-2 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -225 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 69.2% chance of a victory for the Padres.
The Cardinals have been victorious in 32, or 42.1%, of the 76 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
St. Louis has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +185 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 35.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres played seven of their last 10 games as the moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
The Padres' record against the spread is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	9-1
Runs Per Game	6.2
HR	17
ERA	3.84
K/9	11

Padres Player Insights

Juan Soto has gone yard 32 times in the 2023 campaign while driving in 101 runs, both totals that lead the Padres.
In all of Major League Baseball, Soto is 16th in home runs and ninth in RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is batting .262 with 32 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 50 walks.
Including all MLB hitters, Tatis ranks 40th in home runs and 58th in RBI.
Manny Machado is batting .253 with 21 doubles, 30 home runs and 49 walks.
Xander Bogaerts' .281 batting average leads his team.

Learn more about this Padres vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Cardinals have a record of 4-5.
The Cardinals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Cardinals have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	2.5
HR	9
ERA	4.25
K/9	6.8

Cardinals Player Insights

Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals with a .271 batting average.
Among all hitters in MLB, Goldschmidt is 40th in home runs and 52nd in RBI.
Goldschmidt carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
Lars Nootbaar is hitting .264 with 24 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 67 walks.
Among all MLB hitters, Nootbaar ranks 166th in home runs and 197th in RBI.
Tommy Edman is batting .241 with 23 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 32 walks.
Jordan Walker is batting .272 with 16 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.