Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 24, 2023 4:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres and St. Louis Cardinals will play on Sunday at PETCO Park, at 4:10 PM ET, with Juan Soto and Lars Nootbaar among those expected to step up at the plate. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -204, while the underdog Cardinals have +170 odds to play spoiler. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +102 odds). The game's over/under is set at 8 runs.

The San Diego Padres will hand the ball to Michael Wacha (12-4, 3.44 ERA), who is looking for win No. 13 on the season, and the Cardinals will turn to Drew Rom (1-3, 6.92 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Padres vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-204	+170	8	-112	-107	-1.5	+102	-123

Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Cardinals 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 58%, Cardinals 42%

Padres vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

The Padres have been favorites in 115 games this season and won 63 (54.8%) of those contests.
San Diego has entered 17 games this season favored by -204 or more and is 11-6 in those contests.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 67.1% chance of a victory for the Padres.
The Cardinals have come away with 33 wins in the 77 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, St. Louis has come away with a win one times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +170 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 37% chance of pulling out a win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 7-1 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
The Padres' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	13
ERA	3.36
K/9	11.1

Padres Player Insights

The Padres' best power option comes in the form of Soto and his 32-dinger 101-RBI season, both team highs.
Including all MLB batters, Soto ranks 50th in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage, and 19th in slugging.
Soto has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with two doubles, five walks and three RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .262 with 32 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 52 walks.
Tatis is 40th in home runs and 58th in RBI on the year.
Tatis has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double and three walks.
Manny Machado is hitting .253 with 21 doubles, 30 home runs and 50 walks.
Machado is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
Xander Bogaerts' .281 batting average paces his team.

Learn more about this Padres vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Cardinals have a record of 4-5.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Cardinals and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Cardinals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	2.5
HR	6
ERA	4.15
K/9	6.7

Cardinals Player Insights

Paul Goldschmidt leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .270.
Goldschmidt's home run total puts him 40th in the big leagues, and he ranks 53rd in RBI.
Nootbaar is batting .262 with 24 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 68 walks.
Nootbaar ranks 167th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 197th in RBI.
Tommy Edman is hitting .242 with 24 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 32 walks.
Jordan Walker is batting .271 with 16 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.