Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 24, 2023 4:05 p.m. ET

The San Diego Padres and St. Louis Cardinals will play on Sunday at PETCO Park, at 4:10 PM ET, with Juan Soto and Lars Nootbaar among those expected to step up at the plate. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -204, while the underdog Cardinals have +170 odds to play spoiler. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +102 odds). The game's over/under is set at 8 runs.

The San Diego Padres will hand the ball to Michael Wacha (12-4, 3.44 ERA), who is looking for win No. 13 on the season, and the Cardinals will turn to Drew Rom (1-3, 6.92 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Padres vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -204 +170 8 -112 -107 -1.5 +102 -123

Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Cardinals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 58%, Cardinals 42%

Padres vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 115 games this season and won 63 (54.8%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has entered 17 games this season favored by -204 or more and is 11-6 in those contests.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 67.1% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • The Cardinals have come away with 33 wins in the 77 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, St. Louis has come away with a win one times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +170 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 37% chance of pulling out a win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 7-1 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
  • The Padres' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 13
ERA 3.36
K/9 11.1

Padres Player Insights

  • The Padres' best power option comes in the form of Soto and his 32-dinger 101-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Including all MLB batters, Soto ranks 50th in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage, and 19th in slugging.
  • Soto has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with two doubles, five walks and three RBI.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .262 with 32 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 52 walks.
  • Tatis is 40th in home runs and 58th in RBI on the year.
  • Tatis has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double and three walks.
  • Manny Machado is hitting .253 with 21 doubles, 30 home runs and 50 walks.
  • Machado is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts' .281 batting average paces his team.

Learn more about this Padres vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

  • In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Cardinals have a record of 4-5.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Cardinals and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Cardinals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.5
HR 6
ERA 4.15
K/9 6.7

Cardinals Player Insights

  • Paul Goldschmidt leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .270.
  • Goldschmidt's home run total puts him 40th in the big leagues, and he ranks 53rd in RBI.
  • Nootbaar is batting .262 with 24 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 68 walks.
  • Nootbaar ranks 167th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 197th in RBI.
  • Tommy Edman is hitting .242 with 24 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Jordan Walker is batting .271 with 16 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
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