Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 13

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 13

Updated Aug. 13, 2023 4:05 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres will meet Corbin Carroll and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday at Chase Field, at 4:10 PM ET. The favored Padres have -144 moneyline odds against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +122. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the San Diego Padres looking to Seth Lugo (4-6), and Brandon Pfaadt (0-6) answering the bell for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, August 13, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • How to Watch on TV: ARID
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -144 +122 9 -104 -116 -1.5 +109 -131

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 50%, Diamondbacks 50%

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Padres have won 46, or 52.9%, of the 87 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • San Diego is 35-25 this season when entering a game favored by -144 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 59% chance to win.
  • The Diamondbacks have come away with 28 wins in the 64 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Arizona has won 13 of 32 games when listed as at least +122 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 45% chance of walking away with the win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Padres have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 15
ERA 5.59
K/9 9.1

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Padres Player Insights

  • Soto paces the Padres in home runs (24) and runs batted in (75).
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Soto is 16th in homers and 14th in RBI.
  • Soto carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a triple and three RBI.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has 26 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 31 walks while batting .260.
  • Tatis is 40th in homers and 50th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Tatis heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with two doubles and three RBI.
  • Ha-Seong Kim paces the Padres with a .286 batting average.
  • Manny Machado is hitting .256 with 16 doubles, 21 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Machado brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with two doubles, three walks and two RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+235)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+170)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+150)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+105)
Garrett Cooper 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs seven times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 2-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Diamondbacks have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 1-9
Runs Per Game 2.3
HR 9
ERA 4.93
K/9 9.1

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Carroll is hitting .274 with 23 doubles, five triples, 21 home runs and 43 walks.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Carroll's home run total is 28th and his RBI tally ranks 54th.
  • Ketel Marte is hitting .281 to lead the lineup.
  • Marte is currently 40th in home runs and 54th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Christian Walker has been a significant run producer for the Diamondbacks with 24 home runs and 73 runs batted in.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 25 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .256.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+150)
Christian Walker 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+150)
Jake McCarthy 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+205)
Tommy Pham 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)
Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+190)

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