Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Updated Aug. 17, 2023 9:05 p.m. ET

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres will attempt to knock off Tommy Pham and the Arizona Diamondbacks when the teams square off on Thursday at 9:40 PM ET. The Diamondbacks are -102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Padres (-118). Arizona is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +158 odds). An 8.5-run over/under has been set in the contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the San Diego Padres looking to Rich Hill (7-12), and Zac Gallen (12-5) getting the nod for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Thursday, August 17, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -118 -102 8.5 -109 -111 -1.5 -188 +158

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 55%, Diamondbacks 45%

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have won 48 out of the 91 games, or 52.7%, in which they've been favored.
  • San Diego is 44-39 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • The Diamondbacks have come away with 29 wins in the 65 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Arizona has been victorious 24 times in 57 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have a 3-4 record across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Padres' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4
HR 9
ERA 5.13
K/9 8.2

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Padres Player Insights

  • Soto has accumulated a team-best 24 home runs and 75 runs batted in.
  • Soto's home runs put him 18th in the majors, and he ranks 20th in RBI.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .270 with 27 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Tatis is 46th in home runs and 48th in RBI on the year.
  • Tatis heads into this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .317 with three doubles, two walks and five RBI.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has put up a team-high batting average of .284.
  • Kim will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with two doubles and a walk.
  • Manny Machado is batting .251 with 18 doubles, 21 home runs and 39 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+125)
Luis Campusano 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+265)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+210)
Gary Sánchez 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Diamondbacks have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 11
ERA 5.79
K/9 9.8

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks in home runs (28) and runs batted in (82).
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Walker's home run total is 10th and his RBI tally ranks ninth.
  • Walker has collected a hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .395 with two doubles, six home runs, four walks and 14 RBI.
  • Corbin Carroll is hitting .274 with 23 doubles, six triples, 21 home runs and 45 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Carroll is 31st in homers and 63rd in RBI.
  • Ketel Marte has accumulated a team-best batting average of .277.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 25 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .258.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+280) 0.5 (+145)
Ketel Marte 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+130)
Christian Walker 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+125)
Kyle Lewis 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+175)
Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+230)

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