Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Updated Aug. 17, 2023 9:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres will attempt to knock off Tommy Pham and the Arizona Diamondbacks when the teams square off on Thursday at 9:40 PM ET. The Diamondbacks are -102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Padres (-118). Arizona is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +158 odds). An 8.5-run over/under has been set in the contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the San Diego Padres looking to Rich Hill (7-12), and Zac Gallen (12-5) getting the nod for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 17, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-118	-102	8.5	-109	-111	-1.5	-188	+158

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 55%, Diamondbacks 45%

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

This season, the Padres have won 48 out of the 91 games, or 52.7%, in which they've been favored.
San Diego is 44-39 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Padres.
The Diamondbacks have come away with 29 wins in the 65 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Arizona has been victorious 24 times in 57 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres have a 3-4 record across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
The Padres' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4
HR	9
ERA	5.13
K/9	8.2

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Padres Player Insights

Soto has accumulated a team-best 24 home runs and 75 runs batted in.
Soto's home runs put him 18th in the majors, and he ranks 20th in RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .270 with 27 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 33 walks.
Tatis is 46th in home runs and 48th in RBI on the year.
Tatis heads into this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .317 with three doubles, two walks and five RBI.
Ha-Seong Kim has put up a team-high batting average of .284.
Kim will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with two doubles and a walk.
Manny Machado is batting .251 with 18 doubles, 21 home runs and 39 walks.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Manny Machado	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+125)
Luis Campusano	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+180)
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+265)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+210)
Gary Sánchez	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+185)

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Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Diamondbacks have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	11
ERA	5.79
K/9	9.8

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks in home runs (28) and runs batted in (82).
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Walker's home run total is 10th and his RBI tally ranks ninth.
Walker has collected a hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .395 with two doubles, six home runs, four walks and 14 RBI.
Corbin Carroll is hitting .274 with 23 doubles, six triples, 21 home runs and 45 walks.
Among all major league hitters, Carroll is 31st in homers and 63rd in RBI.
Ketel Marte has accumulated a team-best batting average of .277.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 25 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .258.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+280)	0.5 (+145)
Ketel Marte	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+130)
Christian Walker	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+125)
Kyle Lewis	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+175)
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+230)

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