Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 18

Updated Aug. 18, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Christian Walker and the Arizona Diamondbacks take the field on Friday at PETCO Park against Seth Lugo, who will start for the San Diego Padres. First pitch will be at 9:40 PM ET for the second game of a four-game series. The Diamondbacks have been listed as +139 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Padres (-164). San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +123 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for this matchup (with -119 odds to hit the over and -101 odds on the under).

The scheduled starters are Lugo (4-6) for the San Diego Padres, and Brandon Pfaadt (0-6) for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 18, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-164	+139	8.5	-119	-101	-1.5	+123	-146

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 55%, Diamondbacks 45%

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

The Padres have entered the game as favorites 92 times this season and won 48, or 52.2%, of those games.
San Diego has a record of 26-18, a 59.1% win rate, when favored by -164 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The Padres have a 62.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 30, or 45.5%, of the 66 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Arizona has come away with a win seven times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 41.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and went 3-5 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
The Padres' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	7
ERA	4.60
K/9	7.5

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Padres Player Insights

Juan Soto leads the Padres with 24 home runs and 75 runs batted in.
Of all hitters in baseball, Soto's home run total places him 18th, and his RBI tally ranks him 20th.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .268 with 27 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 35 walks.
Tatis ranks 47th in homers and 49th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Ha-Seong Kim has a team-best batting average of .281.
Manny Machado is batting .249 with 18 doubles, 21 home runs and 39 walks.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jake Cronenworth	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+200)
Garrett Cooper	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+190)
Ha-Seong Kim	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+245)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+160)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+205)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Diamondbacks have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	12
ERA	4.60
K/9	9.3

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Walker has managed a team-high 28 home runs and has driven in 82 runs.
Among all batters in the majors, Walker is 10th in home runs and ninth in RBI.
Corbin Carroll has 23 doubles, six triples, 21 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .272.
Carroll is 31st in homers and 64th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
Ketel Marte has put up a team-high batting average of .277.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .258 with 25 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 24 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Tommy Pham	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+190)
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+205)
Ketel Marte	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+180)
Christian Walker	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+175)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+180)

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