Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 19

Updated Aug. 19, 2023 3:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks meet on Saturday at 3:10 PM ET. Gary Sanchez and Christian Walker have been on a tear in recent games for their respective clubs. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -118, while the underdog Diamondbacks have -101 odds to upset. Arizona is a 1.5-run favorite (at +157 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the matchup.

The Padres will give the ball to Matt Waldron versus the Diamondbacks and Merrill Kelly (9-5).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 19, 2023 at 3:10 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-118	-101	8.5	-120	+100	-1.5	-190	+157

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 4, Diamondbacks 3
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 57%, Diamondbacks 43%

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

The Padres have been favorites in 93 games this season and won 49 (52.7%) of those contests.
San Diego has entered 85 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 45-40 in those contests.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Padres.
The Diamondbacks have come away with 30 wins in the 67 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, Arizona has won 23 of 57 games when listed as at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres went 4-4 over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times.
The Padres are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	6
ERA	3.24
K/9	8.2

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Padres Player Insights

The Padres' best power option comes in the form of Juan Soto and his 24-dinger 75-RBI season, both team highs.
In all of Major League Baseball, Soto is 18th in home runs and 21st in RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .268 with 27 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 35 walks.
Tatis is 40th in homers and 44th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Ha-Seong Kim has racked up a team-best batting average of .281.
Manny Machado has 18 doubles, 21 home runs and 42 walks while batting .248.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Manny Machado	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+145)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-189)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+185)
Gary Sánchez	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+200)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-213)	0.5 (-213)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+210)
Matt Carpenter	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+230)

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Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 2-4.
The Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Diamondbacks have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	11
ERA	4.50
K/9	8.8

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Walker leads the Diamondbacks in home runs (28) and runs batted in (82).
Among all batters in the big leagues, Walker is 11th in home runs and 10th in RBI.
Corbin Carroll is batting .270 with 23 doubles, six triples, 21 home runs and 46 walks.
Carroll is 31st in homers and 67th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Ketel Marte paces the Diamondbacks with a team-best batting average of .276.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .258 with 26 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 24 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+160)
Tommy Pham	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Christian Walker	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+140)
Ketel Marte	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+145)
Alek Thomas	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+205)

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