Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 6

Updated Jul. 6, 2024 9:03 p.m. ET

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Kyle Higashioka and the San Diego Padres will aim to outdo Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks at PETCO Park on Saturday at 9:40 PM ET. The favored Padres have -125 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +105. San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 7.5-run total has been set in this contest.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Angels vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments in this matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Diamondbacks 46%

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 53 times this season and won 29, or 54.7%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 20-16, a 55.6% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 46 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (41.3%) in those games.
• Arizona has a win-loss record of 14-17 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL (10)

AZ 7 · SD 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

+1.5

+110

O 7.5

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-130

U 7.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were the moneyline favorite for three of their last 10 games, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Padres are 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar comes into Saturday's game hitting .316 with 57 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Padres. He has also launched 13 homers in 2024.
• Among all MLB hitters, Profar ranks third in batting average, fourth in on-base percentage, and 25th in slugging.
• Profar has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two home runs, two walks and two RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth is hitting .261 with 18 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 29 walks.
• Cronenworth ranks 57th in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Cronenworth has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
• Luis Arraez is batting .314 with 16 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 15 walks.
• Arraez has at least one base hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with an RBI.
• Ha-Seong Kim is batting .222 with 10 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over twice.
• The Diamondbacks have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Marte paces the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .284.
• Marte's home run total places him 18th in MLB, and he is 30th in RBI.
• Christian Walker has hit 22 home runs with 62 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Walker ranks fifth in homers and eighth in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 15 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 13 walks while batting .270.
• Corbin Carroll is hitting .213 with 15 doubles, six triples, two home runs and 38 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Angels vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments in this matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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