Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 7

Updated Jul. 7, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks will meet on Sunday at PETCO Park, at 4:10 PM ET, with Jurickson Profar and Ketel Marte -- two hot hitters -- expected to produce at the plate. The Padres are favored in this one, at -128, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +109 odds to win. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game (with -110 odds to go over and -110 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: Roku

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Diamondbacks 46%

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 54 times and won 29, or 53.7%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 20-17, a 54.1% win rate, when favored by -128 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 47 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (42.6%) in those contests.
• Arizona has a mark of 12-17 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 47.8% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

AZ 9 · SD 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

+1.5

+146

O 8.5

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-177

U 8.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have a 1-2 record from the three games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Padres' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Profar has racked up a team-best 58 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in the majors, Profar is 46th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
• Profar has collected a hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .263 with 18 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 29 walks.
• Cronenworth is 59th in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Cronenworth carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
• Ha-Seong Kim has 12 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .228.
• Luis Arraez is hitting .315 to pace his team.
• Arraez is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .318 with an RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 3-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
• The Diamondbacks have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Marte paces the Diamondbacks with a team-high batting average of .284.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Marte's home run total is 18th and his RBI tally is 30th.
• Christian Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 22 home runs and 64 runs batted in.
• Walker is currently sixth in home runs and seventh in RBI in the major leagues.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .269 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 13 walks.
• Corbin Carroll is batting .210 with 15 doubles, six triples, two home runs and 38 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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