Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 9

Updated Jun. 9, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres hit the field on Sunday at PETCO Park against Scott McGough, who is starting for the Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 4:10 PM ET for the final game of a four-game series. The Padres are favored in this one, at -159, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +135 odds to play spoiler. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup (with -104 odds to go over and -116 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: ARID

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-159	+135	8	-104	-116	-1.5	+136	-161

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 55%, Diamondbacks 45%

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

The Padres have entered the game as favorites 42 times this season and won 22, or 52.4%, of those games.
San Diego has a record of 6-5, a 54.5% win rate, when favored by -159 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 61.4% chance to win.
The Diamondbacks have won in 12, or 35.3%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Arizona has a win-loss record of 2-4 when favored by +135 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 42.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres have a 4-4 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Padres have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	11
ERA	4.08
K/9	6.6

Padres Player Insights

Jurickson Profar has been outstanding at getting on base for the Padres this season, leading the squad with a .419 OBP and 74 hits.
Of all hitters in baseball, Profar ranks 50th in home runs and 16th in RBI.
Tatis' 11 home runs lead his team.
Tatis ranks 26th in home runs and 44th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Tatis has 14 straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .463 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
Ha-Seong Kim has eight doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 37 walks while hitting .224.
Kim has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .176 with two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
Luis Arraez has a club-leading .337 batting average.
Arraez is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .304 with a double and a walk.

Learn more about this Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
The Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Diamondbacks are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	14
ERA	6.38
K/9	6.5

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Ketel Marte has posted a team-best batting average of .282, while pacing the Diamondbacks in long balls with 13.
In all of MLB, Marte ranks 14th in homers and 36th in RBI.
Christian Walker has put up 39 runs batted in to pace his team.
Walker is 20th overall in homers and 23rd in RBI this year.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .244 with 11 doubles, nine home runs and 12 walks.
Corbin Carroll is batting .199 with seven doubles, four triples, two home runs and 27 walks.