Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 8

Updated Oct. 8, 2024 9:01 p.m. ET

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Game 3 of the NLDS on Tuesday will feature the San Diego Padres playing host to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The teams will look to break the 1-1 series deadlock when action begins at 9:08 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1, live from PETCO Park. The Padres are -147 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Dodgers (+124). San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +141 odds). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game (with -119 odds to hit the over and -102 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Dodgers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

David Ortiz gives Dodgers' Mookie Betts a pep talk amid postseason struggles | MLB on FOX

The "MLB on FOX" crew shared their thoughts on what may be the cause of Mookie Betts' hitting woes and David Ortiz offered him some encouraging words.

Padres vs. Dodgers Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 8, 2024 at 9:08 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Dodgers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Dodgers 47%

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Insights

• The Padres have won 63, or 60.6%, of the 104 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season San Diego has won 33 of its 50 games, or 66%, when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Dodgers have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win five times (29.4%) in those games.
• Los Angeles has a win-loss record of 2-3 when favored by +124 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Dodgers have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

LAD 5 · SD 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Los Angeles Dodgers

LAD

+1.5

+123

O 7.5

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-147

U 7.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Padres were named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only twice, and they won both games.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
• The Padres' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar has 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks while hitting .280.
• Profar ranks 42nd in home runs and 35th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Manny Machado's 29 home runs and 105 RBI both pace his team.
• Machado ranks 24th in homers and ninth in RBI in the bigs.
• Machado has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .136 with a double, a home run and four RBI.
• Jackson Merrill is batting .292 with 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks.
• Luis Arraez has a club-best .314 batting average.
• Arraez has recorded at least one hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .250 with four doubles, a triple and three RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Dodgers matchup on Fox Sports.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• The Dodgers are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Dodgers and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Dodgers have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Shohei Ohtani paces the Dodgers in home runs (54), runs batted in (130) and has put up a team-best batting average of .310.
• Ohtani's home run total puts him second in MLB, and he ranks second in RBI.
• Freddie Freeman is hitting .282 with 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks.
• Freeman ranks 58th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 28th in RBI.
• Mookie Betts is batting .289 with 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks.
• Teoscar Hernandez is hitting .272 with 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

David Ortiz gives Dodgers' Mookie Betts a pep talk amid postseason struggles | MLB on FOX

The "MLB on FOX" crew shared their thoughts on what may be the cause of Mookie Betts' hitting woes and David Ortiz offered him some encouraging words.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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