Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 8

Updated Oct. 7, 2024 8:03 a.m. ET

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The San Diego Padres will host the Los Angeles Dodgers in the third game of the NLDS on Tuesday at 9:08 p.m. ET, live on Fox Sports 1 from PETCO Park. The teams split the first two games of the series and would move within a win of the NLCS with a victory in this matchup. The Padres are -143 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Dodgers (+121). San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5-run over/under has been set in the contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Dodgers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Dodgers: Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado and more postgame interviews

Check out the postgame interviews after Game 2 of the NLDS featuring the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres.

Padres vs. Dodgers Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 8, 2024 at 9:08 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Dodgers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 55%, Dodgers 45%

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 104 games this season and won 63 (60.6%) of those contests.
• This season San Diego has won 34 of its 55 games, or 61.8%, when favored by at least -143 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 58.8%.
• The Dodgers have come away with five wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Los Angeles has been victorious two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Dodgers have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Wed 1:08 AM

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Los Angeles Dodgers

LAD

+1.5

+121

O 7.5

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-143

U 7.5

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Padres have been listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just twice, and they won both games.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
• The Padres' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is batting .280 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks.
• Of all batters in baseball, Profar's home run total ranks him 42nd, and his RBI tally ranks him 35th.
• Manny Machado's 29 home runs and 105 runs batted in both pace his team.
• Machado ranks 24th in home runs and ninth in RBI in the major leagues.
• Machado has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .136 with a double, a home run and four RBI.
• Jackson Merrill is hitting .292 with 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks.
• Luis Arraez is batting .314 to lead his team.
• Arraez brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 games he is batting .250 with four doubles, a triple and three RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Dodgers matchup on Fox Sports.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• Bookmakers have not installed the Dodgers as underdogs in any of their last 10 games.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Dodgers and their opponents are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Dodgers have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers in home runs (54), runs batted in (130) and has recorded a team-high batting average of .310.
• Ohtani's home run total places him second in the majors, and he is second in RBI.
• Freddie Freeman is batting .282 with 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks.
• Freeman is currently 58th in homers and 28th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Mookie Betts has 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks while hitting .289.
• Teoscar Hernandez is batting .272 with 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

Padres vs. Dodgers: Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado and more postgame interviews

Check out the postgame interviews after Game 2 of the NLDS featuring the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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