Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9

Updated Oct. 9, 2024 9:01 p.m. ET

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The NLDS resumes Wednesday at 9:08 p.m. ET when the San Diego Padres host the Los Angeles Dodgers live on Fox Sports 1 from PETCO Park. The Padres would advance to the NLCS with a Game 4 win while the Dodgers hope to force a winner-take-all Game 5. The Padres are -136 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Dodgers (+116). San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +150 odds). The total is 8 runs for this contest (with -104 odds on the over and -116 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Dodgers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Dodgers vs. Padres Game 4 Preview: Can LA save their season? | MLB on FOX

The "MLB on FOX" crew broke down Game 4 of the NLDS between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres. Can the Los Angeles Dodgers save their season?

Padres vs. Dodgers Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 9:08 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Dodgers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Dodgers 47%

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 105 times and won 64, or 61%, of those games.
• San Diego is 41-24 this season when entering a game favored by -136 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 57.6% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Dodgers have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win five times (27.8%) in those contests.
• This year, Los Angeles has won two of nine games when listed as at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 46.3% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

LAD 8 · SD 0

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Los Angeles Dodgers

LAD

+1.5

+115

O 8

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-136

U 8

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres won all of the three games they played while the moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Padres have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is hitting .280 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Profar is 25th in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, and 37th in slugging.
• Profar has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with three walks and an RBI.
• Manny Machado has hit 29 home runs with 105 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
• Machado is 24th in homers and ninth in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Machado has four straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a double, a home run and four RBI.
• Jackson Merrill has 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks while batting .292.
• Luis Arraez has a club-best .314 batting average.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Dodgers matchup on Fox Sports.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Dodgers have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• The Dodgers and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Dodgers have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 54 home runs and 130 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .310.
• Ohtani ranks second in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Freddie Freeman has 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks while batting .282.
• Freeman is 58th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 28th in RBI.
• Mookie Betts is hitting .289 with 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks.
• Teoscar Hernandez is batting .272 with 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

Dodgers vs. Padres Game 4 Preview: Can LA save their season? | MLB on FOX

The "MLB on FOX" crew broke down Game 4 of the NLDS between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres. Can the Los Angeles Dodgers save their season?

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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