Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9

Updated Oct. 9, 2024 7:04 a.m. ET

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Game 4 of the NLDS will feature the San Diego Padres playing host to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Padres will look to advance to the NLCS when action gets underway on Wednesday starting at 9:08 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1, live from PETCO Park. The Dodgers are listed as +124 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Padres (-147). San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 8 runs for this matchup.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Dodgers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Dodgers Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 9:08 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Dodgers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Dodgers 47%

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 105 games this season and won 64 (61%) of those contests.
• San Diego is 34-17 this season when entering a game favored by -147 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Dodgers have been victorious in five, or 27.8%, of the 18 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Los Angeles has a mark of 2-3 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Dodgers have a 44.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Thu 1:08 AM

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Los Angeles Dodgers

LAD

+1.5

+124

O 8

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-147

U 8

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres played as the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and won every time.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
• The Padres' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar is hitting .280 with 29 doubles, 24 home runs and 76 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Profar ranks 25th in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, and 37th in slugging.
• Profar has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with three walks and an RBI.
• Manny Machado has shown his power as he paces his team with 29 home runs and 105 RBI.
• Machado is 24th in homers and ninth in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Machado has four games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a double, a home run and four RBI.
• Jackson Merrill is hitting .292 with 31 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 29 walks.
• Luis Arraez has a club-leading .314 batting average.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Dodgers matchup on Fox Sports.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

• The Dodgers have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Dodgers and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Dodgers have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Dodgers Player Insights

• Shohei Ohtani paces the Dodgers in home runs (54), runs batted in (130) and has posted a team-best batting average of .310.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Ohtani's home run total is second and his RBI tally ranks second.
• Freddie Freeman has 35 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks while hitting .282.
• Freeman ranks 58th overall in homers and 28th in RBI this year.
• Mookie Betts is hitting .289 with 24 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 61 walks.
• Teoscar Hernandez has 32 doubles, two triples, 33 home runs and 53 walks while batting .272.

Dodgers Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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