Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

Updated Aug. 4, 2023 9:07 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres will send a hot-hitting Ha-Seong Kim to the plate against the Los Angeles Dodgers and Freddie Freeman, who has been on a tear in recent games, when the squads take the field on Friday at 9:40 PM ET. The Padres are listed as -128 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Dodgers (+108). San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +161 odds). The matchup's total is set at 8.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the San Diego Padres looking to Yu Darvish (8-7), and Bobby Miller (6-2) taking the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Dodgers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Dodgers Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres	-128	+108	8.5	-106	-114	-1.5	+161	-195

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Dodgers 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Dodgers 48%

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Insights

This season, the Padres have been favored 82 times and won 44, or 53.7%, of those games.
San Diego has entered 67 games this season favored by -128 or more and is 39-28 in those contests.
The Padres have a 56.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Dodgers have been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (52.9%) in those games.
Los Angeles has a win-loss record of 4-3 when favored by +108 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Dodgers have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres went 6-4 across the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times.
The Padres' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5
HR	16
ERA	2.62
K/9	11.2

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Padres Player Insights

Juan Soto is the Padres best power hitter, hitting 23 homers this season in addition to collecting 70 RBI, both team highs.
Soto is 16th in homers and 13th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
Soto brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .361 with a double, four home runs, five walks and 10 RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has 24 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 30 walks while batting .270.
Tatis is 31st in homers in baseball, and 47th in RBI.
Tatis carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .130 with a double, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
Kim leads the Padres with a team-high batting average of .284.
Kim will look to build on his nine-game hitting in this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .438 with a double, three home runs, 10 walks and seven RBI.
Manny Machado is hitting .258 with 14 doubles, 20 home runs and 33 walks.

Padres Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Manny Machado	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+145)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+200)
Gary Sánchez	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+240)
Jake Cronenworth	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+225)
Juan Soto	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Dodgers matchup on Fox Sports.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

The Dodgers are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Dodgers and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
The Dodgers have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	13
ERA	4.89
K/9	9.6

Dodgers Player Insights

Freeman leads the Dodgers with 76 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .343.
Among all hitters in MLB, Freeman ranks 18th in homers and seventh in RBI.
Freeman has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .571 with five doubles, a home run and three RBI.
Mookie Betts' 29 home runs pace his team.
Among all major league batters, Betts is fourth in home runs and 13th in RBI.
Will Smith is hitting .273 with 16 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 50 walks.
Max Muncy has eight doubles, 27 home runs and 61 walks while hitting .193.

Dodgers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Freddie Freeman	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+180)
David Peralta	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+145)
Amed Rosario	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+205)
Will Smith	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+160)
Mookie Betts	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+180)

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