Padres vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 26

Updated Sep. 26, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET

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Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres will play LaMonte Wade Jr and the San Francisco Giants on Tuesday at Oracle Park, at 9:45 PM ET. The Padres are listed as -125 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Giants (+105). San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for the game (with -111 odds to go over and -108 odds on the under).

The scheduled starters are Seth Lugo (7-7) for the San Diego Padres, and Kyle Harrison (1-1) for the San Francisco Giants.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Giants game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Padres vs. Giants Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 9:45 PM ET
• Where: Oracle Park in San Francisco, California
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Padres vs. Giants Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 6, Giants 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 50%, Giants 50%

Padres vs. Giants Betting Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 117 times this season and won 64, or 54.7%, of those games.
• This season San Diego has won 58 of its 96 games, or 60.4%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Giants have been victorious in 34, or 45.3%, of the 75 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• San Francisco has a mark of 18-32 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Giants have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres played as the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and they finished 8-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Padres' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Soto has gone yard 33 times in the 2023 campaign while driving in 105 runs, both totals that lead the Padres.
• Soto's home runs place him 15th in the majors, and he is fifth in RBI.
• Soto carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .266 with 33 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 52 walks.
• Tatis ranks 44th in homers and 56th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Tatis heads into this matchup looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Manny Machado has 21 doubles, 30 home runs and 50 walks while hitting .255.
• Machado has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts is hitting .283 to lead his team.
• Bogaerts brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with two doubles, a triple, a walk and two RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Giants matchup on Fox Sports.

Giants Recent Betting Performance

• The Giants have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Giants and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Giants are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Giants Recent Stats

Giants Player Insights

• Wilmer Flores has put up a team-best 22 home runs.
• In all of the majors, Flores ranks 67th in home runs and 134th in RBI.
• Wade is batting .262 with 14 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 74 walks.
• Wade ranks 117th in homers and 186th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Thairo Estrada has racked up a team-high batting average of .273.
• J.D. Davis has a team-leading 69 runs batted in.

Giants Team Props

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