Padres vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 7

Padres vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 7

Updated Sep. 7, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

Heliot Ramos and the San Francisco Giants will take the field on Saturday at PETCO Park against Dylan Cease, who is starting for the San Diego Padres. First pitch will be at 8:40 p.m. ET. The Giants have been listed as +172 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Padres (-205). San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The matchup's over/under is set at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Giants game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Manny Machado homers to tie the Padres franchise record, his second long ball of the game against the Giants

Manny Macado homered to tie the San Diego Padres franchise record, his second long ball of the game against the San Francisco Giants.
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Padres vs. Giants Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 8:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-BA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -205 +172 8 -105 -115 -1.5 +114 -137

Padres vs. Giants Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Giants 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 56%, Giants 44%

Padres vs. Giants Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 90 games this season and won 53 (58.9%) of those contests.
  • San Diego is 8-3 this season when entering a game favored by -205 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 67.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Giants have won in 25, or 39.7%, of the 63 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, San Francisco has been a moneyline underdog of -205 or longer five times, losing every contest.
  • The Giants have an implied victory probability of 36.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
SF 6 · SD 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Francisco Giants
SF
San Diego Padres
SD

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have a 5-2 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
  • The Padres' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 13
ERA 4.08
K/9 8.9

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar is hitting .278 with 24 doubles, 22 home runs and 70 walks.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Profar's home run total places him 38th, and his RBI tally puts him 24th.
  • Profar carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .125 with a home run, six walks and two RBI.
  • Manny Machado's 25 home runs and 89 RBI are both team-highs.
  • Machado ranks 23rd in home runs and 15th in RBI in the majors.
  • Jackson Merrill has 23 doubles, six triples, 22 home runs and 24 walks while batting .290.
  • Luis Arraez's .310 batting average leads his team.
  • Arraez brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .395 with two doubles, four walks and four RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+195)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+180)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+160) - 0.5 (+190)
Manny Machado 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+135)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+225)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Giants matchup on Fox Sports.

Giants Recent Betting Performance

  • The Giants have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 1-5 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Giants and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Giants have won two of their last 10 games against the spread.

Giants Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 9
ERA 4.86
K/9 10.4

Giants Player Insights

  • Matt Chapman paces the Giants in home runs (22), runs batted in (69) and has put up a team-best batting average of .249.
  • In all of the big leagues, Chapman is 38th in homers and 48th in RBI.
  • Chapman has collected a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .324 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
  • Ramos is batting .274 with 19 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Ramos is 55th overall in home runs and 54th in RBI this season.
  • Michael Conforto has 25 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 40 walks while batting .230.
  • Mike Yastrzemski is batting .239 with 13 doubles, nine triples, 13 home runs and 33 walks.

Giants Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Chapman 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+170)
Heliot Ramos 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+225)
Patrick Bailey 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) - 0.5 (+240)
Marco Luciano 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+300)
Brett Wisely 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+310)

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Highlights | MLB on FOX

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