Padres vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

Padres vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

Updated Jul. 9, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Seattle Mariners and Julio Rodriguez take the field at PETCO Park against Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres on Tuesday. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -135, while the underdog Mariners have +114 odds to win. San Diego is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

WELCOME TO THE J-ROD SHOW Premieres July 16 on FS1 after the MLB All-Star Game (Official Trailer)

FOX Sports Films’ one-hour documentary follows the inspirational journey of Seattle Mariners center fielder Julio Rodríguez and his remarkable quest to the Major Leagues.
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Padres vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -135 +114 7.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +155 -189

Padres vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 4, Mariners 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Mariners 46%

Padres vs. Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Padres have entered the game as favorites 55 times this season and won 29, or 52.7%, of those games.
  • San Diego is 18-15 this season when entering a game favored by -135 or more on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (45.7%) in those games.
  • This season, Seattle has been victorious seven times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 46.7% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
SEA 8 · SD 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Seattle Mariners
SEA
San Diego Padres
SD

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres played as the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and went 1-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
  • The Padres' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 15
ERA 4.65
K/9 8.8

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 14 home runs and 59 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .315.
  • Of all batters in the majors, Profar's home run total places him 36th, and his RBI tally puts him 12th.
  • Profar takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, three home runs, three walks and four RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth has 18 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 29 walks while batting .263.
  • Cronenworth is 60th in homers and 25th in RBI on the year.
  • Cronenworth carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has 12 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks while batting .229.
  • Kim is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with two doubles and two RBI.
  • Luis Arraez is batting .312 with 16 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 15 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+255)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+225)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+205)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
Kyle Higashioka 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+260)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mariners have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Mariners and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Mariners are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.0
HR 9
ERA 3.23
K/9 8.3

Mariners Player Insights

  • Rodriguez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .247.
  • Rodriguez's home run total places him 129th in the majors, and he ranks 143rd in RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford has 12 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 35 walks while hitting .209.
  • Crawford is 155th in home runs and 168th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Caleb Raleigh has been solid source of run production for the Mariners with 15 long balls and 51 runs batted in.
  • Dylan Moore has 14 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 27 walks while hitting .213.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Mitch Garver 0.5 (-190) 1.5 () 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+170)
J.P. Crawford 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+210)
Caleb Raleigh 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+285) 0.5 (+125)
Julio Rodríguez 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+125)
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+200)

WELCOME TO THE J-ROD SHOW Premieres July 16 on FS1 after the MLB All-Star Game (Official Trailer)

FOX Sports Films’ one-hour documentary follows the inspirational journey of Seattle Mariners center fielder Julio Rodríguez and his remarkable quest to the Major Leagues.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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San Diego Padres
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