Padres vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Padres vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres head into the final of a two-game series against Cal Raleigh and the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park, Wednesday at 9:40 p.m. ET. The favored Padres have -111 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Mariners, who are listed at -108. San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the game has been set at 7 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -111 -108 7 -104 -116 -1.5 +155 -187

Padres vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Mariners 49%

Padres vs. Mariners Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 92 times and won 53, or 57.6%, of those games.
  • San Diego is 52-39 this season when entering a game favored by -111 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 52.6%.
  • The Mariners have come away with 17 wins in the 43 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Seattle has been victorious 17 times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 51.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
SD 2 · SEA 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Seattle Mariners
SEA

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Padres have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 14
ERA 4.50
K/9 9.5

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar is hitting .279 with 25 doubles, 22 home runs and 71 walks.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Profar's home run total places him 40th, and his RBI tally ranks him 28th.
  • Profar carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • Machado has shown his power as he leads his team with 26 home runs and 94 RBI.
  • Machado is 24th in home runs in MLB, and 13th in RBI.
  • Jackson Merrill is batting .287 with 23 doubles, six triples, 23 home runs and 25 walks.
  • Luis Arraez has a club-leading .318 batting average.
  • Arraez is riding a nine-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .419 with four walks and four RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+170)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+210)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+165)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+260)
Luis Campusano 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+295)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mariners are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • The Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Mariners have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 13
ERA 3.90
K/9 9.8

Mariners Player Insights

  • Raleigh leads the Mariners in home runs (30) and runs batted in (91).
  • In all of MLB, Raleigh ranks 14th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
  • Raleigh brings a hitting streak of eight games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .275 with two doubles, three home runs, five walks and 11 RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena is batting .219 with 28 doubles, 19 home runs and 63 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Arozarena ranks 67th in home runs and 128th in RBI.
  • Justin Turner is batting .253 with 20 doubles, nine home runs and 52 walks.
  • Julio Rodriguez leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .260.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Julio Rodríguez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+205)
Josh Rojas 0.5 (+110) 0.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+330)
Randy Arozarena 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+215)
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+235)
Victor Robles 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-185) - 0.5 (+280)

Padres vs. Mariners Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from the San Diego Padres and the Seattle Mariners!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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