Padres vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Padres vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres head into the final of a two-game series against Cal Raleigh and the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park, Wednesday at 9:40 p.m. ET. The favored Padres have -111 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Mariners, who are listed at -108. San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the game has been set at 7 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -111 -108 7 -104 -116 -1.5 +155 -187

Padres vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Mariners 49%

Padres vs. Mariners Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 92 times and won 53, or 57.6%, of those games.
  • San Diego is 52-39 this season when entering a game favored by -111 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 52.6%.
  • The Mariners have come away with 17 wins in the 43 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Seattle has been victorious 17 times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 51.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
SD 2 · SEA 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Seattle Mariners
SEA

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Padres have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 14
ERA 4.50
K/9 9.5

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar is hitting .279 with 25 doubles, 22 home runs and 71 walks.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Profar's home run total places him 40th, and his RBI tally ranks him 28th.
  • Profar carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • Machado has shown his power as he leads his team with 26 home runs and 94 RBI.
  • Machado is 24th in home runs in MLB, and 13th in RBI.
  • Jackson Merrill is batting .287 with 23 doubles, six triples, 23 home runs and 25 walks.
  • Luis Arraez has a club-leading .318 batting average.
  • Arraez is riding a nine-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .419 with four walks and four RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+170)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+210)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+165)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+260)
Luis Campusano 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+295)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mariners are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • The Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Mariners have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 13
ERA 3.90
K/9 9.8

Mariners Player Insights

  • Raleigh leads the Mariners in home runs (30) and runs batted in (91).
  • In all of MLB, Raleigh ranks 14th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
  • Raleigh brings a hitting streak of eight games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .275 with two doubles, three home runs, five walks and 11 RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena is batting .219 with 28 doubles, 19 home runs and 63 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Arozarena ranks 67th in home runs and 128th in RBI.
  • Justin Turner is batting .253 with 20 doubles, nine home runs and 52 walks.
  • Julio Rodriguez leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .260.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Julio Rodríguez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+205)
Josh Rojas 0.5 (+110) 0.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+330)
Randy Arozarena 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+215)
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+235)
Victor Robles 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-185) - 0.5 (+280)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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