Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 10

Updated Aug. 10, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres will play Jake Burger and the Miami Marlins at LoanDepot park on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, in the second game of a three-game series. The Padres are -193 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Marlins (+161). San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at -120 odds). The over/under for the contest has been set at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Miami Marlins on Friday, August 9.

Padres vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 10, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, Marlins 46%

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 69 games this season and won 40 (58%) of those contests.
• San Diego is 5-3 this season when entering a game favored by -193 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.9% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 101 games this season and have come away with the win 39 times (38.6%) in those contests.
• This season, Miami has been victorious nine times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +161 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 38.3% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL (10)

SD 9 · MIA 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-192

O 9

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+159

U 9

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have a 7-1 record across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
• The Padres are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar paces the Padres with 19 home runs and 71 runs batted in.
• Profar is 32nd in home runs and 18th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Jackson Merrill is hitting .294 with 19 doubles, four triples, 16 home runs and 20 walks.
• Merrill ranks 68th in home runs in MLB, and 37th in RBI.
• Merrill heads into this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .526 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• Machado has 22 doubles, 18 home runs and 31 walks while batting .272.
• Machado is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .304 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and eight RBI.
• Luis Arraez's .302 batting average leads his team.
• Arraez has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .208 with a double and an RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Marlins are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Burger paces the Marlins in home runs (20), runs batted in (50) and has put up a team-best batting average of .242.
• Burger is 26th in homers and 84th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Burger carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a double, three home runs and three RBI.
• Jesus Sanchez has 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .234.
• Among all MLB hitters, Sanchez ranks 101st in homers and 125th in RBI.
• Xavier Edwards is hitting .364 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 18 walks.
• Otto Lopez is batting .226 with eight doubles, three home runs and 11 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Padres vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Miami Marlins on Friday, August 9.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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